Cobra's Market View

Institutional accumulation and distribution from stocktiming. very interesting, distribution historically low while accumulation is very low too. No wonder we have a dead market recently.

liquidity also from stocktiming, still showing either we're in the early stage of rally, or this round rally is weak as no money to back it up, because the previous rallies, the liq reached max and stayed there for long long time, while this time we're far behind.

do you believe the rally is still in the early stage? Well, think again. By the time we reach the all time high, how much gas price you have to pay?

AAII and II.

Smart Money is huge short both on NDX and DOW. Drawing some vertical lines we can see the smart money is not too bad. Huge short may mean they're hedging their longs so once they gradually cover (reducing their hedge means they're reduce their longs), then things would become ugly. Now NDX smart money is covering. let's see.

happy weekend! off to watch 'proper futbal' this morning,
a few l/t charts for the good DR and thanks AL

China's soft landing?

Look at the shanghai composite index and think again...pure speculation the real threat is/will be not the Europe but China

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/news ... emand.html#

at least watchout of iron ore mining companies IMO

Rio Tinto (price is in pound sterling) For fun

Good morning weekenders

PAGING AAPL
Nice visuals, no blabla text
“How Apple Became the Most Valuable Company Ever”
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2012/08/ho ... Picture%29

“I think if you do something and it turns out pretty good, then you should go do something else wonderful, not dwell on it for too long.
Just figure out what's next.”
[Steve Jobs, 2006]

10 year note Still short TMV (57.70)

PAGING STOCKCHARTS SUBSCRIBERS

You can now add more DUPLICATE symbols on one chart without extra charge.
(This might depend on your subscription level… not sure).
Previously we had 6 symbols limit per chart maximum, period.
Now you can add more duplicate symbols, you just cannot add new/other symbols.
To Illustrate: this is my intermediate-term “Trend Follower” chart which I have posted many times on board (still Bull since early June).
You may recall, I couldn’t fit in all the different 5/10/20 ma cross lines, so I had to continually jump to another chart to confirm a signal.
Now, because so many of these symbols are dupes, I can add the extra ma cross line, PLUS A FEW EXTRA SYMBOLS added to the bottom of this chart just to illustrate my point. If that is unclear, here are the settings:

Russell, nothing changed looks like short term weakness is in play before preelection spike up (if any)

Percentage of stocks above the 50ma
This is weekly. All are in the top zone except nasdaq/compq Stocks can quickly jump their 50ma. It takes much more strength to get above that 200ma, so this is a longer term indicator.
Percentage of stocks above their 200ma
Interesting that only the OEX and the DOW, the large-cap, narrow indices, have reached the top zone here (but could bounce higher),
while the others have room to grow. “Painting is stronger than I am. It can make me do whatever it wants.” [Pablo Picasso]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qeMFqkcPYcg

BMW update

viewtopic.php?f=2&t=637&p=89165#p89165

HI JOE-GAMMA
Another view of aggressive v defensive sectors
This one is percentage performance based, last two months, 30 min
(As u know, if u change the timeframe, u will get diff results)
[Edit: Note the divergence: bonds are saying “risk off” but stocks are not quite confirming that just yet]

Dollar index

Euro COT yesterday
http://www.dailymarkets.com/commitment-of-traders/

Correlation between currency markets and US equities:
Following shows ratio of SPY and three currency pairs (that are most correlated with SPY at this time) with VIX futures. Notice a remarkable similarity between these ratios and signals derived from them. Per this analysis SPY is in sell mode in hourly time frame and about to move to sell in 4hr time frame(indicating further deterioration). Also note that currency markets sometime lead SPY. Similar behavior is seen using IWM and RVX.

SPAIN, today
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/ ... ss+News%29

This set up moved to a sell as of close on Friday.

With silver looks like I was way early (sold at 30 ) I hoped for pullback at resistance, but will have to rebuy at the first opportunity more expensively - long physical gold as well till 2700$