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It's all about timing, poeple are right all the time but you don't want to be and lose money. fundamentally you are correct. but timing is every thing.DCS wrote:Bearish factors:
Japanese reactors, Japanese coastal human catastrophe, Japanese economic injuries, oil over $100, ME political instability, imminent hangover following predictable spike from US military intervention somewhere, most recent US economic data is neutral or slightly bearish, TA suggests that a test of last week's lows is in order before resuming up trend, seismic rumblings in Ireland and Portugal debt markets, late March seasonality.
Bullish factors:
POMO, TA suggests that a V is in and up we go, bad news from Japan is dwindling or being clamped, western nations have begun doing anything rather than nothing in Libya, Saudis clamped the day of rage, California did not fall into the ocean.
Did I miss anything?
Seems that bears outweigh bulls until we gain more desensitization to some factors on the bear list.
POMO is an immensely powerful locomotive, but there are presently too many baggage cars attached and the incline is getting steeper.
Everyone will feel a lot better about resuming grind up after we test the recent lows and hand Libya back over to Gadaffi and bury the reactors in concrete. I suspect that all of that could be accomplished by next week.
I look for a back test followed by new highs in late April. Of course, if California falls into the ocean, I may change my outlook.
I think May will mostly grind up.
I think POMO fear will contribute to June volatility. I think a significant 2011 correction could occur any time after May.
That's my .02!
bollinger bands are very tight and in this flag configuration this almost always breaks to the upside...BullBear52x wrote:Bears trap set up is in the work, I can smell it. so Bears need to take high precaution here, this next dip that we are giong to get, take what's given and be happy, don't get greedy, today's internals are not that bearish. I am continue on my shorts move but with even tigher stops.
I like your chart - thanksabracadabra wrote:update TRIN chart