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06/25/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Jun 25, 2026 8:17 am
by Cobra
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Try to break the resistance again, this time should have better chances.

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Re: 06/25/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Jun 25, 2026 9:54 am
by BullBear52x
Selling to continue..

Re: 06/25/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Jun 25, 2026 9:57 am
by Cobra
This bear shall have legs.

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Re: 06/25/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Jun 25, 2026 9:57 am
by BullBear52x
Resistance level holds, bears are in charge.

Re: 06/25/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Jun 25, 2026 10:00 am
by Cobra

Re: 06/25/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Jun 25, 2026 10:11 am
by BullBear52x
Bear trap bigly. look below and fail, a trade above 61.8% will put the bear in checked!

Re: 06/25/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Jun 25, 2026 10:37 am
by Cobra
Maybe it's a range. Need go out, be back around 3:30 pm

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Re: 06/25/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Jun 25, 2026 10:40 am
by Trades w 2 Cats
ES 09-26 (6000 Tick) 2026_06_25 (10_31_31 AM).png
Stepping back it looks like bulls get one more chance, at best. The big and frequently mechanical rules driven funds are doing the quarterly re-balance. Usually means sell some winners and buy what ever looks reasonable.It will be done by Tuesday close. Then three weeks with no buybacks. Should be informative.

Re: 06/25/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Jun 25, 2026 10:46 am
by JFR
SPY 5 minutes.

Voltilty is thy name.

Another roller coaster.

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Re: 06/25/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Jun 25, 2026 11:14 am
by BullBear52x
Bears will not let it go either, what a fight. selling to continue.....

Re: 06/25/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Jun 25, 2026 11:33 am
by BullBear52x
Intraday: new swing low, it is bearish bias with >60% of sideways action atm.

Re: 06/25/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Jun 25, 2026 12:02 pm
by BullBear52x
Big picture on BOND and YIELD. we are at the pivot point, if $UST getting higher from here, it's hard to sugar coated this market with "AI", the excuse will be the 'AI" pops. OR is it? this is where the pension and 401k maters. in a week to come I will put this chart on the top of watch list. Peace!

Re: 06/25/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Jun 25, 2026 2:14 pm
by Trades w 2 Cats
ES 09-26 (6000 Tick) 2026_06_25 (2_04_59 PM).png
Was admiring the bi lateral symmetry of yesterday and today. Before the open the free stuff from the options services on X was showing the puts and calls on Micron. They were showing traders locking in profits and buying downside protection. So a wave of put selling at the open would have forced the market makers to sell the underlying stock. At the same time others are saying a huge short attack was staged on Bitcoin, also through options. So it the bottom line from the narratives on X would be the big traders came out to play before Micron and then this morning. Thus the huge increase in volatility that has now faded away.

Re: 06/25/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Jun 25, 2026 3:52 pm
by Cobra

Re: 06/25/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Jun 25, 2026 4:09 pm
by JFR
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