Market Neutral. Holding longs and shorts.
My composite trend signal remains positive. It has been deteriorating but the bullish percentage component is holding firm.
My summation index signal went negative yesterday. It can be early (as well as wrong) but it is signaling a change in trend.
I think it will take until after new years to sort things out in terms of a clear turn or resumption of uptrend.
I have been anticipating two way trade during the holidays, and we have seen the sell side of that so far.
I am guessing we will see a buy side soon.
The jackals have swept up a lot of long in last week's overnight plunge and yesterday's stop run. They'll want to mark that up and exit.
The weakness of the last few days has also drawn in short interest.
Between a year-end mark-up, new year buying and some short squeeze, conditions are shaping for an up move.
If we don't see a rally start, I'll get very concerned...
I am neutral, but I expect to be doing some trading in out and around my positions over the next few days.