uempel wrote:I'm looking at 1256 for a long entry:
SPX1.png
finally, here comes bulls rescue. Tighten my stop loss here. just in case. don't want to fight with uempel!
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another rebound attempt here. after that we'll see, should be another leg down.
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by the way, the measured move target has been met, believe or not.
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although I believe at least there's one more leg down, but bears should be aware the risks as RSP and IWM haven't made a lower low yet.
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Vix is finally starting to react to the downside move in equities. Anyone thing we hit 1250 during the regular trading session...seems everyone is looking at it (which is likely why we couldn't reach it the last couple of moves down). Everyone will buy 1250, unless we get a gap down below it...which is now much more likely IMO.
Some possibilities that today’s low is in. We had an extreme low tick/panic tick of -1,385, almost -1,400. Some big guys were selling hard and sell stops were getting hit. Since then we pop pretty good here and with volume in 5 min ES bar. Lows can be made at the extreme low tick and no new low is made for the rest of the day. We may have witnessed that here.
Cobra wrote:although I believe at least there's one more leg down, but bears should be aware the risks as RSP and IWM haven't made a lower low yet.
Cobra,
I do not know if you follow FXC, but today huge drop with good volume right above support. On the last trading day of April, it had an exhaustion bar that signaled the top in commodities and equities. Not suggesting we have a bottom here, maybe it is worth watching...
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Cobra wrote:although I believe at least there's one more leg down, but bears should be aware the risks as RSP and IWM haven't made a lower low yet.
Cobra,
I do not know if you follow FXC, but today huge drop with good volume right above support. On the last trading day of April, it had an exhaustion bar that signaled the top in commodities and equities. Not suggesting we have a bottom here, maybe it is worth watching...
FXC is in consolidation more likely to breakdown.
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Cobra: I have the feeling that people don’t trust this bounce. They look at the US$ and see that it is still very strong. I don’t know why they trust this inverse correlation today, but most traders do!
Cobra wrote:although I believe at least there's one more leg down, but bears should be aware the risks as RSP and IWM haven't made a lower low yet.
Cobra,
I do not know if you follow FXC, but today huge drop with good volume right above support. On the last trading day of April, it had an exhaustion bar that signaled the top in commodities and equities. Not suggesting we have a bottom here, maybe it is worth watching...
FXC is in consolidation more likely to breakdown.
I hope it does, I am in Canada too I thought you might be using it for hedging your cash needs. Oh, BTW, watch out the RSI(14) positive divergence in 60 min chart. As long as it stays above 30, it is still there...
L1 short, not sure about this setup, seems have good chance?
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