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04/26/2013 Live Update

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Cobra
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04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

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Flat open, any gap will be filled.

I'm not sure what pattern it is on the Global ES, need wait and see. The FEELING though, might be another push up at lease?
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Cobra
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Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by Cobra »


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johnnywa
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Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by johnnywa »

Maybe bad GDP keeps bennys money tap flowing
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TWT
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Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by TWT »

AMBIGUITY

• The outcome of the pattern is uncertain

• Momentum and breadth indicators are suggesting that price has not completed the advance form the November lows

It is still possible but it looks less likely the scenario that calls for a temporary top at the April 11 high ===> Zig Zag in progress.

If this pattern is the correct one, the current up leg is a bearish wave (B), which will be followed by an impulsive decline (wave C).

Therefore I place 2 big question marks both at the April 18 lod and at yesterday´s hod.

Yesterday I discussed several options both bullish and bearish that can play out if bears are not able to achieve an impulsive decline.

Today I add a new one, which calls for an Ending Diagonal wave (Y)

Usually in a wave (B) we should not see a breadth thrust, nor the RSI above the 50 line, a MACD bullish cross over and Summation buy signal.

• McClellan Oscillator has the stochastic overbought but no sell signal yet. Recall that as long as the oscillator does not cross the zero line bearish set ups are not viable

• The Summation Index has issued a “buy signal” by crossing above its 10 dma. The solidity of this bullish signal will depend upon if the RSI crosses the 50 line.

• The MACD is crossing over; the Stochastic is not overbought and the RSI is above the 50 line.

Nor VIX is suggesting that it is unfolding a bullish pattern, at least not yet. I have already discussed that the “fear index” could be forming a bullish falling wedge. If this is the case this pattern still needs a lower low

Regarding the EW labelling of the current up leg, it unquestionably corrective but it not clear that it is over yet. Either way keep in mind that if the following pullback is corrective eventually it will be bought

I have two options, depending if 1577.90 holds:

1. Ending Diagonal wave (Y)

2. Double Zig Zag is over
Attachments
SPX DAILY.png
SPX D ED Y.png
NYMO LP.PNG
SUMMATION INDEX.PNG
SPX MOMENTUM.png
VIX WEEKLY.png
SPX 15 MIN DZZ NOT DONE.png
SPX 15 MIN DZZ DONE.png
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L_T
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Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by L_T »

TWT wrote:AMBIGUITY

• The outcome of the pattern is uncertain

• Momentum and breadth indicators are suggesting that price has not completed the advance form the November lows

Very thorough analysis. Thanks.
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TWT
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Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by TWT »

$FGBL (Bund): Potential bearish rising wedge
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BUND DAILY.png
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gappy
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Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by gappy »

‘the petrodollar is our currency and our problem’....Gappy
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BullBear52x
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Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

This big picture tells the strength is weakening or negative divergence by definition. short term lots of supports below, see RSI, it's getting weak here too now.
1.JPG
2.JPG
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
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BullBear52x
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Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

Good news guys, bad GDP, that means more stimulus. :lol:
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
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joeynickels
Posts: 140
Joined: Tue May 31, 2011 9:27 am

Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by joeynickels »

Nice work. Much appreciated.
TWT wrote:AMBIGUITY

• The outcome of the pattern is uncertain

• Momentum and breadth indicators are suggesting that price has not completed the advance form the November lows

It is still possible but it looks less likely the scenario that calls for a temporary top at the April 11 high ===> Zig Zag in progress.

If this pattern is the correct one, the current up leg is a bearish wave (B), which will be followed by an impulsive decline (wave C).

Therefore I place 2 big question marks both at the April 18 lod and at yesterday´s hod.

Yesterday I discussed several options both bullish and bearish that can play out if bears are not able to achieve an impulsive decline.

Today I add a new one, which calls for an Ending Diagonal wave (Y)

Usually in a wave (B) we should not see a breadth thrust, nor the RSI above the 50 line, a MACD bullish cross over and Summation buy signal.

• McClellan Oscillator has the stochastic overbought but no sell signal yet. Recall that as long as the oscillator does not cross the zero line bearish set ups are not viable

• The Summation Index has issued a “buy signal” by crossing above its 10 dma. The solidity of this bullish signal will depend upon if the RSI crosses the 50 line.

• The MACD is crossing over; the Stochastic is not overbought and the RSI is above the 50 line.

Nor VIX is suggesting that it is unfolding a bullish pattern, at least not yet. I have already discussed that the “fear index” could be forming a bullish falling wedge. If this is the case this pattern still needs a lower low

Regarding the EW labelling of the current up leg, it unquestionably corrective but it not clear that it is over yet. Either way keep in mind that if the following pullback is corrective eventually it will be bought

I have two options, depending if 1577.90 holds:

1. Ending Diagonal wave (Y)

2. Double Zig Zag is over
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KENA
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Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 1:54 pm

Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by KENA »

No Blah Blah here..The charts are self explain
130425 10 ad.jpg
130425 10 ad.jpg (16.16 KiB) Viewed 6561 times
atory
130425 20 nh.jpg
130425 20 nh.jpg (13.33 KiB) Viewed 6561 times
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Cobra
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Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

bouncing from Fib 61.8 MM target. I'd not hope 100% MM.
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kenttown
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Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by kenttown »

BullBear52x wrote:Good news guys, bad GDP, that means more stimulus. :lol:
2.5% ain't that bad, they could easily use it as an excuse to wind down.
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KENA
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Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by KENA »

Re-Post..These are better..You can increase the size
130425 20 nh.jpg
130425 10 ad.jpg
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Cobra
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Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by Cobra »


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BullBear52x
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Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

/ES trader, sequential count got red arrow, bears have been losing a battle as you can see here, but will this time be the charm? I have to find something negative do I? :twisted:
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BullBear52x
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Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

Intraday 1571/ES is what I am eyeing, but no go evil signal just yet. could get trigger any second now. tick tick tick
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JFR
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Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by JFR »

Looks like BOTs chasing pivots today ...

Gap fill on ES and then down she goes.
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Out of Bounds
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Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by Out of Bounds »

:shock: :shock: I put my order in to sell SDS at $45.00 :shock: :shock:

of course, it's a GTC order. I don't expect it today.
...
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BullBear52x
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Re: 04/26/2013 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

I am in bear camp now. got time to trade until lunch today. lets go bears.
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