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06/28/2013 Live Update

fehro
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by fehro »

RUT trying to fill the gap
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Cobra
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

look at what I said every morning. People keep confusing, then I was forced to shut down one service by one service to avoid confusion. You certainly don't want me to shut down this live update, do you?
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Al_Dente
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

This is day 3 of profit-taking on short bonds
628bonds_png.png
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
fehro
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by fehro »

SPX filled the morning gap... now chop for the rest of the day? Remember short trading week next week! Mon Tues 1/2 day Wed
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Richarab
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by Richarab »

No shutdowns...
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Cobra
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

members only update at 11:18 am
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2013/06 ... ay-update/


This update should be clear what the swing trade is looking for.

While day trade, the strategy is clear: this bull has legs.

if you don't understand the differences then you need learn more about different time frame.

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Al_Dente
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

fehro wrote:SPX filled the morning gap... now chop for the rest of the day? Remember short trading week next week! Mon Tues 1/2 day Wed
Today at close is quarter-end

Hey fehro
Thx :mrgreen:
Do u know the full schedule?
Half day wed, closed thurs the 4th
Are we open fri ???
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
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Cobra
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

Richarab wrote:No shutdowns...
of course not. Just maybe I have to repeat in every of my update that the call here is for the next few minutes or hours only.

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Cobra
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

resistance area. but this bull shall have legs. again and again, this leg is for the next few minutes or hours, it can be changed at any minutes as this is just a day trade call.
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joeynickels
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by joeynickels »

GLD shows 5 waves up from today's low before pulling back as does SPY. Both due for pullback which I believe will likely be 3 waves. I have UPRO long from this morning 62.40. Will establish a swing long position GLD position at my target for the pullback 116.5ish. Also swing long FSLR again which might chop around for awhile, but starting to see IHS setup that should reach 50 area if triggered.
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Unique
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by Unique »

Come on guys I was only gone for a couple hours and Cobra is pissed. Behave :D :lol: /jk

In other news, BTFD rarely fails :mrgreen:
Last edited by Unique on Fri Jun 28, 2013 11:34 am, edited 1 time in total.
Restarted the AAPL blog into E-mini S&P 500 Trading Blog , see here: http://aapltechnicals.blogspot.ca/
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Cobra
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

The chart below should explain the differences between my live update and the members only update. Please be sure you know the difference. This is a very basic concept in trading. In 5 min chart I say the bias is up, it doesn't mean on 60 min chart the bias is up, in fact, very often the 60 min chart bias maybe is down. Up or down, it's just a relative concept, all depend on your trading time frame. Please please please be sure to know the concept.
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daytradingES
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by daytradingES »

cosmos wrote: anyone,
days like today cobra's live comments confuse me if i have a swing position. does anything in this live commentary nullify a call in the members only update? do not intend this as negative. sometimes i am very confused how to meh this section with the member's only section if i'm just trading swing. appreciate you cobra very much.
I can't speak for Cobra.

This section is for day trading and the calls are very short term.
If a person is trading the ES small moves are big dollars and swing calls and swing positions are almost irrelevant.
I wouldn't try to meld a swing trade with this section except for fine tuning of an entry or exit but that is only an add-on to ones' multi-day analysis.

As an example, my multiday analysis is that a top was likely made on Thursday- yesterday.
However, as I mentioned in my Video on page 1 - This is Friday ="crooks Day" the manipulators can do what they like today -which is fleece the sheep with confusion. They can whip it up and down until you are so confused that you don't know which way is up.

-------------------------------------------
So my suggestion to you is read the very first post of Cobra each day of this section and see how or if it impacts your swing thinking -having made up your mind last night if today was a day you would likely enter or exit a swing position.

Today (cobra):
"Double Top or not (targeting 1596.50) we'll have to wait and see. Even it is bulls are far from over as the pattern is too small to be a real threat to bulls."

---------------------------------------
You an see this is very valuable for a day trader. It opened at 1601.75 rose to 1604 and the started to fall and fell to his 1596.50 and more 1594.25 at 9:07. Then in the second sentence " Even it is bulls are far from over as the pattern is too small to be a real threat to bulls." so that means you can buy once it has stopped falling - which you know will be about 1596.50 area and it was. It is now 1609+ and still rising towards my target of 1611.25 or perhaps more. (see vid post).

For a day trader:
1604 down to 1594.25 = 9.75 pts
1594.25 to 1611.25 =17 pts
9.75+17=26.25 *50 = $1,3112.50 per contract
------------------------------------
For a swing trader you should have made up your mind last night if today was likely to be an action day for you.
If it was then here is how you would use the first post:

If you are swing trading and you believe the market is getting to a top, and going to start falling then you would wait until this rise is complete of a top 1611.25+= and yesterdays' high was 1614.25 so it go to 1618.50 - the exact level isn't important just that is is higher and later in the day.

So if you are swing trading and you believe the market is going higher, higher then you would have bough at the low area Cobra indicated 1596.50 or lower - once it stopped falling.

So this daytrading section is only if you are making a swing entry today/exit based on your long term analysis and it helps to fine tune your swing trade.

I hope that helps
Last edited by daytradingES on Fri Jun 28, 2013 11:42 am, edited 1 time in total.
Educational only and not trading advice (EO&NTA) :)
Good trading to all
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KENA
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by KENA »

Welllllll..This mornings pre mkt P Bar up to 161.12 has been filled..I would not have belived this.
fehro
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by fehro »

Al_Dente wrote:
fehro wrote:SPX filled the morning gap... now chop for the rest of the day? Remember short trading week next week! Mon Tues 1/2 day Wed
Today at close is quarter-end

Hey fehro
Thx :mrgreen:
Do u know the full schedule?
Half day wed, closed thurs the 4th
Are we open fri ???
http://www.nyx.com/holidays-and-hours/nyse

Mon Tues - full day
Wed 1/2 day - closes at 1 PM EST
Thu - July 4 Holiday
Friday - full day
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Unique
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by Unique »

ES Update - Chart becomes easier to trade if we can break above 1615 to target 1625-1630. Hard shake fest right now

Retrace reached 76% already so it argues for a 100% coming soon
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fehro
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by fehro »

XIV daily... will that gap be filled... lack of volume on this push up gives me pause
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Cobra
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by Cobra »


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Cobra
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

Unique wrote:Come on guys I was only gone for a couple hours and Cobra is pissed. Behave :D :lol: /jk

In other news, BTFD rarely fails :mrgreen:

No pissed off, just use every opportunity to make things clearer. I think it's a good feedback that people are confused about my live update and members only update.

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daytradingES
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Re: 06/28/2013 Live Update

Post by daytradingES »

KENA wrote:Welllllll..This mornings pre mkt P Bar up to 161.12 has been filled..I would not have belived this.
From this morning page 1
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Educational only and not trading advice (EO&NTA) :)
Good trading to all
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