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06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

bbc
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by bbc »

agnosia wrote:
soku wrote: i see negative divergence and early sign of overbot. 1275-1280 was low volume area which could be res or some kind.
what bothers me is i see abnormal strength in eur/usd. kinda strange volume pattern. i will buy on dip for today.
apparently middle east countries are buying euro in force today. nobody knows why.. maybe because is creates a weaker dollar and higher oil?
I really don't think so, they have much much simpler way to profit from their futures.

buying euro up is way too much effort to do and it's only has temporary effect, these oil exporter won't unwind their portfolio in a short term, they never do,

they have to rollover it to hedge against their delivery in the future.
uempel
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by uempel »

Close look at what's going on:
SPX6.png
janez
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by janez »

Selling the FXI bought last Thursday and TNA bought last Friday.
I like this blog and this community!
bbc
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by bbc »

janez wrote:Selling the FXI bought last Thursday and TNA bought last Friday.
I like this blog and this community!
me 2. I just sold FXI call, but only to break even. FXI is so weakly correlated with SHCOMP recently.
BBFinance
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by BBFinance »

I think Cobra's weekend analysis is spot on. If and when the upside target is reached,The next phase of the commentary will start.
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Cobra
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by Cobra »

triangle, so should be one more push up. generally, I don't expect such a strong push up simply fail right away.
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Cobra
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by Cobra »

ok, i was wrong about breakout direction but still it could be a bull flag. let's wait and see.
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pablorynx
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by pablorynx »

FXI is much more correlated with the Hang Seng Index, as these are H-shares trading on the Hong Kong stock exchange.
bbc
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by bbc »

pablorynx wrote:FXI is much more correlated with the Hang Seng Index, as these are H-shares trading on the Hong Kong stock exchange.
thanks, just checked, more or less same as SHCOMP, correlations drops a lot recently
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agnosia
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by agnosia »

hope cobra is right, should get one more push... saw lots of sellers at 1274 on the DOM... my stop for last half is 1269.5
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KENA
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by KENA »

I guess that takes care of trying to buy.Been waiting for Uempel's chart to break 1280 for more up.Wait and see.
barbaragull
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by barbaragull »

Come on, bulls, don't give up here. I haven't bought back the shares of VIXY I sold last Friday.
BBFinance
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by BBFinance »

Just a side note:
In the market place, I think the concept of Bull vs Bear exist only in the mind of small investors and speculators.
The big guns are neither bullish nor bearish. The just scheme the cream on the way up and way down. And they manipulate to get the best position.
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rhight
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by rhight »

let's see how this works.
Last edited by rhight on Fri Feb 17, 2012 12:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Swing to Intermediate SPX Analysis - multiple time frame - Daily & 60 min time and price cycle analysis.
Usually trade SSO / SDS
barbaragull
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by barbaragull »

Thumbs up! (why there is no smily for it?)
BBFinance wrote:Just a side note:
In the market place, I think the concept of Bull vs Bear exist only in the mind of small investors and speculators.
The big guns are neither bullish nor bearish. The just scheme the cream on the way up and way down. And they manipulate to get the best position.
Last edited by barbaragull on Mon Jun 27, 2011 11:29 am, edited 1 time in total.
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KENA
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by KENA »

Now what???? I'm bearish under 1277/1275.I guess wait and see.
HK88
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by HK88 »

BBFinance wrote:Just a side note:
In the market place, I think the concept of Bull vs Bear exist only in the mind of small investors and speculators.
The big guns are neither bullish nor bearish. The just scheme the cream on the way up and way down. And they manipulate to get the best position.
I just could not agree more. Who took the market down, will take it back up (if it could be justified). Or, they shake people out and take it more down. It is like the independent or swing voters in an election, same people...
bbc
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by bbc »

BBFinance wrote:Just a side note:
In the market place, I think the concept of Bull vs Bear exist only in the mind of small investors and speculators.
The big guns are neither bullish nor bearish. The just scheme the cream on the way up and way down. And they manipulate to get the best position.
I guess you were wrong.

majority capital is still in the form of mutual funds, they have to be bullish bias. macro hedge funds have to have bias.

funds doing statarb and emm are usually market neutral most of the time.
Last edited by bbc on Mon Jun 27, 2011 11:34 am, edited 1 time in total.
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soku
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by soku »

soku wrote:
agnosia wrote:
soku wrote:i see a bullish flag with target 1272-1274.5
yep i have the same target.... squeeze coming soon to those that shorted daily pivot..
i see negative divergence and early sign of overbot. 1275-1280 was low volume area which could be res or some kind.
what bothers me is i see abnormal strength in eur/usd. kinda strange volume pattern. i will buy on dip for today.
i decide to play the res. i have half of my normal trading size in short. i will add short if 1269 broke.
The goal is not uniformity. It is understanding and idea exchange.
agnosia
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Re: 06/27/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by agnosia »

KENA wrote:Now what???? I'm bearish under 1277/1275.I guess wait and see.
lots of resistance above due to the zig-zag of the recent weeks. my next resistance levels are -

R3-> 1279.75-1280.50

there is also a gap to fill there @ 1280.5
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