Back to www.cobrasmarketview.com

06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

uempel
Posts: 8685
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 6:38 am

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by uempel »

A few days ago the world was about to collapse :o and today everything is fine - this volatility is killing me.

I closed my SPX longs yesterday, much too early, and now I'm contemplating what to do. Kind of difficult, as this rally might be the eye of the storm and SPX could drop down on some freakish information out of Greece or elsewhere. I guess I'm just going to stay put on the SPX and wait and see.

In the currency markets it looks like the Swissie has bottomed versus USD and EUR, but I have not yet shorted CHF.

When I'm tired I tend to make mistakes... Bye guys, I'm going for a meal and a drink.
SPX2.png
Last edited by uempel on Thu Jun 30, 2011 1:54 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Tabby
Posts: 924
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 5:09 pm

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by Tabby »

cougar wrote:
Tabby wrote:
99er wrote:uempel:

Thanks for the heads up; always find your BP charts helpful.

But my charts say "sell."

My coffee maker, however, has yet to say a word.
Après cela…le déluge!
God rest this noble man's soul. Thanks, No evil chasing. Well, I am still hopeful for TZA. :mrgreen:
User avatar
soku
Posts: 1893
Joined: Fri Mar 25, 2011 10:02 am

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by soku »

KENA wrote:
HK88 wrote:I would very much like to see the NYMO today, I am sure it will be overbought if we finish like this today, leaving almost no room for a beginning of month rally..
The NYMO was at about extreme last night .Based on that and a couple of other factors I expect a roll over.We have a lot of hype and up momentem so the mkt may go dn slowley and sideways for a day or two.Wait and see.
kena, hope u see my notes from yesterday and didn't short cat. i think it may go to 110 area.
spx 1320 is good spot for bulls. need new fuel or trigger to initiate another run.
The goal is not uniformity. It is understanding and idea exchange.
User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 64721
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by Cobra »

still looks like a bull flag.
Attachments
1.png

Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
User avatar
KENA
Posts: 2996
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 1:54 pm

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by KENA »

soku wrote:
KENA wrote:
HK88 wrote:I would very much like to see the NYMO today, I am sure it will be overbought if we finish like this today, leaving almost no room for a beginning of month rally..
The NYMO was at about extreme last night .Based on that and a couple of other factors I expect a roll over.We have a lot of hype and up momentem so the mkt may go dn slowley and sideways for a day or two.Wait and see.
kena, hope u see my notes from yesterday and didn't short cat. i think it may go to 110 area.
spx 1320 is good spot for bulls. need new fuel or trigger to initiate another run.
.Yes I did. My entry point was a little early.
User avatar
alphahorn
Posts: 243
Joined: Fri May 27, 2011 9:36 am
Location: New Mexico
Contact:

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by alphahorn »

people are talking about shorting oil, I trade Energy via ERX and ERY, went long ERX a few days ago, looks early still
Attachments
Energy.png
Last edited by alphahorn on Thu Jun 30, 2011 2:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Subscription website www.alphahorn.com trading ETFs since 2011. Portfolio has grown from $100,000 to over $700,000 as of 11/19
User avatar
99er
Posts: 3686
Joined: Mon Feb 14, 2011 3:43 pm
Contact:

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by 99er »

From Jesse's Cafe Americain

Trading is just a business, and so one should treat it as such. It is neither good nor bad, but a craft of sorts if you will. One has to be on the right side of the market, and it has nothing to do with courage, and everything to do with knowledge, luck, and skill.

Conducting ourselves honorably and standing for the truth, upholding our oaths if you will, is a calling however, a high aspiration which we all receive, but which not all take up. And as with all worthy things it is never easy or accidental, and there are always failures as we learn, so we should not be too discouraged when we stumble and fall, or when we are fearful or confused. This is the human condition of us all.

http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.co ... uleur.html
uempel
Posts: 8685
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 6:38 am

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by uempel »

Something which might cheer up 99 and other bears (a little bit). On a very long term weekly log chart (it goes back 20 years) I found SPX hanging around at resistance... But now I'm gone :lol:
SPX4.png
Last edited by uempel on Thu Jun 30, 2011 2:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
shumushu
Posts: 315
Joined: Thu Feb 17, 2011 1:09 pm
Contact:

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by shumushu »

Critical time now
Attachments
2011-06-30_1105.png
StrikePrice
Posts: 770
Joined: Wed Mar 30, 2011 1:27 pm

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by StrikePrice »

It's all about the light blue line on 30min for me. Lots of support on my chart...but if it's broken a big fall.

Can the Bulls make it to a profitable quarter? I guess with dividend they don't have to hit above 132.50?
Attachments
SPY_15min_630.png
SPY_30min_630.png
User avatar
KENA
Posts: 2996
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 1:54 pm

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by KENA »

shumushu wrote:Critical time now
Thanks..Things may get better.
User avatar
rhight
Posts: 608
Joined: Mon Jun 20, 2011 10:31 am

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by rhight »

Psssst . . . no selling today, pass the word.
Swing to Intermediate SPX Analysis - multiple time frame - Daily & 60 min time and price cycle analysis.
Usually trade SSO / SDS
MajorEasy
Posts: 223
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 9:53 pm

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by MajorEasy »

tehehe,
i should follow my own advice.
i was trapped in a short from 10:00 to 12:30, it was a counter-trend trade....
held on 'til it became a 2 pt. winner...

note to self: counter trend trading is stupid stupid stupid....
newbees, counter-trend involves trying to short tops and buy bottoms..
the market's goal is to distribute the wealth of many to as few hands as possible
cheech
Posts: 95
Joined: Tue Jun 28, 2011 9:30 am

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by cheech »

alphahorn wrote:people are talking about shorting oil, I trade Energy via ERX and ERY, went long ERX a few days ago, looks early still
Oil is scheduled to make a low towards the middle of July. There will be a re-test of the lows even if it pushes higher.
HK88
Posts: 127
Joined: Wed Jun 01, 2011 9:10 am

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by HK88 »

cheech wrote:
alphahorn wrote:people are talking about shorting oil, I trade Energy via ERX and ERY, went long ERX a few days ago, looks early still
Oil is scheduled to make a low towards the middle of July. There will be a re-test of the lows even if it pushes higher.
Anybody has an idea why gold is falling when $ is down as well???
User avatar
alphahorn
Posts: 243
Joined: Fri May 27, 2011 9:36 am
Location: New Mexico
Contact:

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by alphahorn »

cheech wrote:
alphahorn wrote:people are talking about shorting oil, I trade Energy via ERX and ERY, went long ERX a few days ago, looks early still
Oil is scheduled to make a low towards the middle of July. There will be a re-test of the lows even if it pushes higher.

possibly, I only know and care about what my indicators say, and right now they say BUY and they've been very profitable :D , when they say sell, I'll listen and follow then too!
Subscription website www.alphahorn.com trading ETFs since 2011. Portfolio has grown from $100,000 to over $700,000 as of 11/19
User avatar
rhight
Posts: 608
Joined: Mon Jun 20, 2011 10:31 am

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by rhight »

5 min traders, in case you haven't noticed SPX sitting on 50 DMA at 1317. Waiting for shorts to take a position before running a few more stops. Just being cynical as I'm quite busy watching the paint dry. Price still in rising channel.
Swing to Intermediate SPX Analysis - multiple time frame - Daily & 60 min time and price cycle analysis.
Usually trade SSO / SDS
User avatar
alphahorn
Posts: 243
Joined: Fri May 27, 2011 9:36 am
Location: New Mexico
Contact:

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by alphahorn »

HK88 wrote:
cheech wrote:
alphahorn wrote:people are talking about shorting oil, I trade Energy via ERX and ERY, went long ERX a few days ago, looks early still
Oil is scheduled to make a low towards the middle of July. There will be a re-test of the lows even if it pushes higher.
Anybody has an idea why gold is falling when $ is down as well???
Gold is in a wave 4 pullback, it'll make another push up in due time

here's one that'll make cheech happy, we've been short gold via my system
Attachments
GOLD.png
Subscription website www.alphahorn.com trading ETFs since 2011. Portfolio has grown from $100,000 to over $700,000 as of 11/19
cougar
Posts: 1914
Joined: Fri May 20, 2011 9:25 am

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by cougar »

Rhight: good point! Doing the same.
Also...nice analytical charts, in general!
R U a professional?
User avatar
shumushu
Posts: 315
Joined: Thu Feb 17, 2011 1:09 pm
Contact:

Re: 06/30/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by shumushu »

Looks like bulls arn't able to take out the 50ma 5minutes.
Post Reply