If you're StockCharts member, please do me a little favor by "vote" and the most importantly "follow" my public chart list HERE. You need "follow" only once but vote can be done everyday, so whenever you have time, please vote for me, thanks! If you're not StockCharts member, you can also help boosting my rank by clicking the link once everyday.
Please, again, all my calls in the daily live update is for intra-day only, they're absolutely invalid when the closing bell rings. If you're interested in the forecast for days and weeks, Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Personal attack on any board members won't be tolerated. Please limit your topic to trade related only.
Please no direct link to your personal web site or blog. You must post rich contents here. You can, however, put link to your personal web site or blog as your signature.
I'm very busy during the trading hour, so your question posted on board might not be answered. For a guaranteed answer to your question please send email to [email protected].
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
Great chart. There is an "accepted" definition of a recession as 2 consecutive quarters of negative growth. That feels like an arbitrary definition to me. I prefer to define a recession as a period of negative real rates. The reason is negative real rates ONLY occur when an economy is sick. Instead of calling our current condition an economic expansion, it would be more precise to call our current condition a "stimulated economy" because if a fair interest rate was paid right now, our economy would IMMEDIATELY slide back into recession. So that's really where we are. We are in a recession.
That chart says we've been in a recession since 2000, which feels right. We've had a couple stimulated economies since then, but no true economic boom. The Great Recession started way way back...in the Clinton years!
bearish as of SPY 406 on 2/17/23
currently: end bearish as of SPY 406 on 3/6/23
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
Great chart. There is an "accepted" definition of a recession as 2 consecutive quarters of negative growth. That feels like an arbitrary definition to me. I prefer to define a recession as a period of negative real rates. The reason is negative real rates ONLY occur when an economy is sick. Instead of calling our current condition an economic expansion, it would be more precise to call our current condition a "stimulated economy" because if a fair interest rate was paid right now, our economy would IMMEDIATELY slide back into recession. So that's really where we are. We are in a recession.
That chart says we've been in a recession since 2000, which feels right. We've had a couple stimulated economies since then, but no true economic boom. The Great Recession started way way back...in the Clinton years!
Thanks. Was reading somewhere that there is a huge unsold inventory build-up at car dealerships that the manufacturers count income/sales accrued.
‘the petrodollar is our currency and our problem’....Gappy
Wow. Sold that pop up to my 1840.50 number and just covered 1836.50 cause i wanted out ahead of 1835.75.. My lucky day i guess.. i will try a buy scalp either at 1835.75 or 1833.75 depending on when (and of course if) it occurs...
back to resistance area. Fib 61.8% of the double top text book target was fulfilled, that's good enough for double top.
Attachments
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.