Legal note:Don't believe anything I say above. You may lose yourA$$..
My chart has Daily Elders (Close, High, and Low), MA-2, CCI, and ATR for each stock; all color coded.
Looking at the weekly SPY chart. Without a major rally thurs/fri, SPY will post its 4th consecutive red candle. It has not done that since January 2010.
It is VERY difficult for SPY to have a run of red candles longer than 4. In fact, all such runs (except the very first) occurred during bear markets.
1. 6 red candles in june/july 2008 during the credit crisis. (up for 5 candles)
2. 5 red candles in may/june 2002 during the dotcom bust. (kept falling for 5 candles)
3. 5 red candles in mar/apr 2002 during the dotcom bust. (kept falling for 16 candles)
4. 5 red candles in jan/feb 2001 during the dotcom bust. (kept falling for 3 candles)
5. 6 red candles in sept/oct 2000 during the dotcom bust. (higher for 3 candles then fell more)
6. 5 red candles in mar/apr 1997 during an economic boom. (ripped higher for 16 candles)
The weekly SPY chart has never seen more than 6 consecutive red candles.
bearish as of SPY 406 on 2/17/23
currently: end bearish as of SPY 406 on 3/6/23
Looking at the weekly SPY chart. Without a major rally thurs/fri, SPY will post its 4th consecutive red candle. It has not done that since January 2010.
It is VERY difficult for SPY to have a run of red candles longer than 4. In fact, all such runs (except the very first) occurred during bear markets.
1. 6 red candles in june/july 2008 during the credit crisis. (up for 5 candles)
2. 5 red candles in may/june 2002 during the dotcom bust. (kept falling for 5 candles)
3. 5 red candles in mar/apr 2002 during the dotcom bust. (kept falling for 16 candles)
4. 5 red candles in jan/feb 2001 during the dotcom bust. (kept falling for 3 candles)
5. 6 red candles in sept/oct 2000 during the dotcom bust. (higher for 3 candles then fell more)
6. 5 red candles in mar/apr 1997 during an economic boom. (ripped higher for 16 candles)
The weekly SPY chart has never seen more than 6 consecutive red candles.
could be an ascending triangle so BO is more likely
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)