04/10/2014 Live Update

[Al_Dente]

Bottom panel: fourth test of the bottom of the SPY box

[q2model]

Did you ever test p-Bar fulfill rate? They have been very accurate recently.

Also, where do you get there from?

Thanks

No test but about 75% fill rate. I get these from TD Waterhouse platform.

Thank you. Hope the reminding ones get filled soon

[fehro]

INDEX dailies.. RUT undercutting the recent lows..

[BullBear52x]

Intraday Buy is expired.

[MrMiyagi]

Getting pretty ugly there...

[fehro]

TICK LOD .. around 11 am - 1075

[fehro]

VIX 15m

[fehro]

VIX 60m

[soku]

Did you ever test p-Bar fulfill rate? They have been very accurate recently.

Also, where do you get there from?

Thanks

No test but about 75% fill rate. I get these from TD Waterhouse platform.

so when will it play out? will new one trump out the untriggered old ones?

[tonghu]

will today be the bottom day? or another bloody day tomorrow

[BullBear52x]

When the banksters gone weak it's hard to think everything else will sail smoothly.

[Heck]

Today VIX is 14.61 and VXN is 18.81

XOM at the money call option implied volatilities are 13.03 and AAPL at the money call implied volatilities are 15.81%

XOM call volatility is undervalued relative to VIX

AAPL call volatility is undervalued relative to VXN

So smart money may be buying Equity calls as high as 247% on the Equity Indices, suggesting Market UP

Heck, energy quotes have been bullish. XOM options may not be correlating well to broader market at the moment.
Are you seeing other blue chips and such with underpriced vols?

Good point B.

BRK/B, PG, WMT, undervalued at the money call implied volatility premiums

[uempel]

Update:

[MrMiyagi]

so when will it play out? will new one trump out the untriggered old ones?

I give them 10 days to play out, no order of which plays out first, that is how long I can track them.
Of course, this is just an arbitrary number I came up with so please, don't rely heavily on the pBars....

[Cobra]

rebound weak, may resume down soon.

[q2model]

rebound weak, may resume down soon.

Cobra:

Thanks for your morning black bar signal from yesterday, saved me a lot of money.

Do you know where I can find out free intraday data for SPY?

Thanks

[uempel]

Intraday Bullish Percentages look much tamer than the indices: BPNYA -0.26%, BPCOMPQ -0.56%, BPSPX -0.28% - all the other BPs are flat.

[Cobra]

this rebound may have small legs then we'll see.

[Platy]

I have a couple of important turn dates for gold on April 12th-14th, with major resistance at 1325 and 1332 (if it can get there). So it looks like we're seeing a major top being formed.

Then I have a mother-of-all-turn-dates coming up for gold on June 14 which looks like it will be a low.

[fehro]

SPX 60m... doji candle.. just closed .. not a great vote of bullish confidence..