Momentum update:
Hourly with STO 13/4 overlay
A similar thing happens at oversold momo (very short term)
Recall on the upside (overbought momo) we counted 1-3 days overbought before a pullback (4 days max), and yesterday was a “day three” pullback.
On the oversold downside, I’m seeing only 1 or 2 days oversold before a bounce (pink boxes).
This is not opinion, it’s just counting the number of days in very recent history.
This suffers from “recency bias” which is the erroneous assumption that what happened in the recent past will repeat in the present).
In other words, the STO shows that recently the overbought status remained overbought longer than the oversold status remained oversold, as the stock-sellers have been delaying sells at interim tops, and dip-buyers have been more aggressive at interim bottoms. That reality could change in a hot minute