Back to www.cobrasmarketview.com

08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Sleeperz
Posts: 72
Joined: Wed Jun 01, 2011 11:47 am

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by Sleeperz »

VIX selloff said sell this market
August 10, 2011, 11:04 AM


Hours before the current session’s wipeout, stock watchers at Cobra’s Market View were feeling bearish about Wednesday’s stock trades — thanks to the VIX. The Chicago Board Options Exchange’s Volatility Index VIX, recently trading at 42.04, fell as much as 29% Tuesday and closed down 13% at 35.06.

“Since the last 2,000 trading days, if you short SPY at today’s close and cover at close tomorrow, you’ll have 89% chances. And if you hold until the very first red day before covering, you’ll have 100% chances,” they wrote late Tuesday. Read full post at Cobra’s Market View.

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY , a exchange-traded fund that tracks the S&P 500 SPX, was recently trading down 3.8 %. The VIX was up 22% to 42.80. — Laura Mandaro

http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/20 ... is-market/
User avatar
soku
Posts: 1893
Joined: Fri Mar 25, 2011 10:02 am

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by soku »

soku wrote:
soku wrote:i will read a push over 1141.5 as 1-2-3 and place my target at 1157
pattern failed, rejected right at 1141.25. we will retest 1125 area. i guess it will not be tradable to me for another hour or so.
not sure what's going on. it is not the drop bothers me. it is the dire4ctionless and volatile movements. my charts indicate the bottom in at 1122, but i am not taking any trade yet.
The goal is not uniformity. It is understanding and idea exchange.
User avatar
soku
Posts: 1893
Joined: Fri Mar 25, 2011 10:02 am

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by soku »

Sleeperz wrote:VIX selloff said sell this market
August 10, 2011, 11:04 AM


Hours before the current session’s wipeout, stock watchers at Cobra’s Market View were feeling bearish about Wednesday’s stock trades — thanks to the VIX. The Chicago Board Options Exchange’s Volatility Index VIX, recently trading at 42.04, fell as much as 29% Tuesday and closed down 13% at 35.06.

“Since the last 2,000 trading days, if you short SPY at today’s close and cover at close tomorrow, you’ll have 89% chances. And if you hold until the very first red day before covering, you’ll have 100% chances,” they wrote late Tuesday. Read full post at Cobra’s Market View.

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY , a exchange-traded fund that tracks the S&P 500 SPX, was recently trading down 3.8 %. The VIX was up 22% to 42.80. — Laura Mandaro

http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/20 ... is-market/
wow, congrats cobra. u r on marketwatch now (which is owned by wsj)
good observation and nice article
The goal is not uniformity. It is understanding and idea exchange.
SigmaEcho
Posts: 286
Joined: Fri Apr 08, 2011 12:09 pm

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by SigmaEcho »

soku wrote:
Sleeperz wrote:VIX selloff said sell this market
August 10, 2011, 11:04 AM


Hours before the current session’s wipeout, stock watchers at Cobra’s Market View were feeling bearish about Wednesday’s stock trades — thanks to the VIX. The Chicago Board Options Exchange’s Volatility Index VIX, recently trading at 42.04, fell as much as 29% Tuesday and closed down 13% at 35.06.

“Since the last 2,000 trading days, if you short SPY at today’s close and cover at close tomorrow, you’ll have 89% chances. And if you hold until the very first red day before covering, you’ll have 100% chances,” they wrote late Tuesday. Read full post at Cobra’s Market View.

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY , a exchange-traded fund that tracks the S&P 500 SPX, was recently trading down 3.8 %. The VIX was up 22% to 42.80. — Laura Mandaro

http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/20 ... is-market/
wow, congrats cobra. u r on marketwatch now (which is owned by wsj)
good observation and nice article
Attachments
applaus.png
applaus.png (1.25 KiB) Viewed 5376 times
uempel
Posts: 8685
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 6:38 am

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by uempel »

Let's see if the blue wedge will work:
SPX19.png
luckystar2006
Posts: 113
Joined: Tue Mar 08, 2011 3:41 pm

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by luckystar2006 »

Despite strong sell-off so far, not sure if you guys noticed the lack of SELL programs running today. I guess it is about time for me get out of my short-term holdings on those 3x bear ETFs, which I have been holding since July.
I've been a MOMENTUM trader over a decade & I only trade setups ranging from scalping, day or swing trading for living. My posts on here are ONLY FOR FUN & therefore not recommending anything to anyone. GLTA.
User avatar
quientuves
Posts: 477
Joined: Wed May 25, 2011 3:24 pm

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by quientuves »

Sleeperz wrote:VIX selloff said sell this market
August 10, 2011, 11:04 AM

Hours before the current session’s wipeout, stock watchers at Cobra’s Market View were feeling bearish about Wednesday’s stock trades — thanks to the VIX. The Chicago Board Options Exchange’s Volatility Index VIX, recently trading at 42.04, fell as much as 29% Tuesday and closed down 13% at 35.06.
hu-haa..!! Great news for Cobra, congrats!!

But i'm afraid, not so good for us, i'm afraid... we'll see.
newbie_77
Posts: 300
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2011 1:47 pm

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by newbie_77 »

congratulation cobra :D now you are going to be more popular
User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 64721
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by Cobra »

AK84 wrote:
Cobra wrote:clueless today, I'll mostly watch...
Cobra da,

test lows at 1101 again soon now guaranteed?
or could reverse anytime ?
revisit low has higher chances as I've been saying. not necessarily today though.

Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
newbie_77
Posts: 300
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2011 1:47 pm

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by newbie_77 »

uempel wrote:Let's see if the blue wedge will work:
SPX19.png
that means either we breakout to the upside or the downside ... is that correct?
luckystar2006
Posts: 113
Joined: Tue Mar 08, 2011 3:41 pm

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by luckystar2006 »

soku wrote:
Sleeperz wrote:VIX selloff said sell this market
August 10, 2011, 11:04 AM


Hours before the current session’s wipeout, stock watchers at Cobra’s Market View were feeling bearish about Wednesday’s stock trades — thanks to the VIX. The Chicago Board Options Exchange’s Volatility Index VIX, recently trading at 42.04, fell as much as 29% Tuesday and closed down 13% at 35.06.

.....

good observation and nice article
Well, he deserves credits for all of his hardworking over last few years to build up his reputation. It has been a long road for him to get where he is now. Without his works, many of you (including me) wouldn't get to where we are right now.
I've been a MOMENTUM trader over a decade & I only trade setups ranging from scalping, day or swing trading for living. My posts on here are ONLY FOR FUN & therefore not recommending anything to anyone. GLTA.
hemlock21
Posts: 29
Joined: Mon Aug 01, 2011 11:21 am

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by hemlock21 »

My two cents, Ron Walker has made me money by catching his bearish calls, and his trading skills are worth having knowledge of. Yes, he is a bear on the economy, and without QE2 we would not have had the rally we did.
Are we falling back into a recession? We never left one (jobs, housing,, bank's toxic waste still with us), the list goes on.
varaamo
Posts: 41
Joined: Tue Aug 02, 2011 2:04 pm

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by varaamo »

Cougar, can u elaborate this please for a noob like me? What is "5MM levels in ONE INTRADAY MOVE"? What intraday chart are you looking at?

Thanks,
kv
cougar wrote:IWM: deep technical correction coming.
Yesterday, on its latest move up, IWM broke an essential rule of Murrey Math: “NO more than 5 MM levels in ONE INTRADAY MOVE!!” It did 7!!!
Therefore, it has to correct.
One can try to find the bottom of this correction - in agreement with Cobra’s scenario.
uempel
Posts: 8685
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 6:38 am

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by uempel »

Looks as though blue wedge is valid:
SPX20.png
User avatar
silicon_beaver
Posts: 524
Joined: Wed Feb 23, 2011 4:09 pm
Location: Beaverton OR

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by silicon_beaver »

luckystar2006 wrote: Well, he deserves credits for all of his hardworking over last few years to build up his reputation. It has been a long road for him to get where he is now. Without his works, many of you (including me) wouldn't get to where we are right now.
well-said.
User avatar
soku
Posts: 1893
Joined: Fri Mar 25, 2011 10:02 am

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by soku »

quientuves wrote: hu-haa..!! Great news for Cobra, congrats!!

But i'm afraid, not so good for us, i'm afraid... we'll see.
i see what u mean, man. i am requesting a golden ticket now :mrgreen:
The goal is not uniformity. It is understanding and idea exchange.
User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 64721
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by Cobra »

soku wrote:
Sleeperz wrote:VIX selloff said sell this market
August 10, 2011, 11:04 AM


Hours before the current session’s wipeout, stock watchers at Cobra’s Market View were feeling bearish about Wednesday’s stock trades — thanks to the VIX. The Chicago Board Options Exchange’s Volatility Index VIX, recently trading at 42.04, fell as much as 29% Tuesday and closed down 13% at 35.06.

“Since the last 2,000 trading days, if you short SPY at today’s close and cover at close tomorrow, you’ll have 89% chances. And if you hold until the very first red day before covering, you’ll have 100% chances,” they wrote late Tuesday. Read full post at Cobra’s Market View.

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY , a exchange-traded fund that tracks the S&P 500 SPX, was recently trading down 3.8 %. The VIX was up 22% to 42.80. — Laura Mandaro

http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/20 ... is-market/
wow, congrats cobra. u r on marketwatch now (which is owned by wsj)
good observation and nice article
Hmm, great, thanks! But if we draw too much attention, then I'm afraid it's not a good news for the blog. :o

Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
wxtrader001
Posts: 40
Joined: Mon Feb 14, 2011 11:03 am

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by wxtrader001 »

From the 5min chart, maybe there is a descending triangle,target is 112.79-(114.77-112.79)=110.81.
User avatar
silicon_beaver
Posts: 524
Joined: Wed Feb 23, 2011 4:09 pm
Location: Beaverton OR

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by silicon_beaver »

no trade so far.
buy order of fas @12.5 never filled.
User avatar
Mr. BachNut
Posts: 2688
Joined: Thu Feb 24, 2011 2:28 pm

Re: 08/10/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by Mr. BachNut »

soku wrote:
Sleeperz wrote:VIX selloff said sell this market
August 10, 2011, 11:04 AM


Hours before the current session’s wipeout, stock watchers at Cobra’s Market View were feeling bearish about Wednesday’s stock trades — thanks to the VIX. The Chicago Board Options Exchange’s Volatility Index VIX, recently trading at 42.04, fell as much as 29% Tuesday and closed down 13% at 35.06.

“Since the last 2,000 trading days, if you short SPY at today’s close and cover at close tomorrow, you’ll have 89% chances. And if you hold until the very first red day before covering, you’ll have 100% chances,” they wrote late Tuesday. Read full post at Cobra’s Market View.

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY , a exchange-traded fund that tracks the S&P 500 SPX, was recently trading down 3.8 %. The VIX was up 22% to 42.80. — Laura Mandaro

http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/20 ... is-market/
wow, congrats cobra. u r on marketwatch now (which is owned by wsj)
good observation and nice article

grumbles. The mainstream media has a way of poisening good things. If the TV and magazines start chattering about Cobra, things will get weird.
Post Reply