As noted last Friday, an overbought setup came into play for me.
Per the setup, I sold the attempt to close the opening gap this morning.
I wanted to sell at the Friday closing price, but the index really seemed to be struggling to get there and Cobra posted a red hollow bar.
So, I pulled the trigger at what now looks like a good level. I have a tight stop.
Also as noted on Friday, the odds on this are just a bit better than a coin flip (55%). So, I don't have much conviction on how it will turn out.
However, the rewards on winners more than cover the losers on this setup over time.
Also worth mentioning just in case, this setup includes a reload under certain conditions if stopped out. Sometimes overbought markets push a bit higher before rolling over if they roll over...
We'll see what happens.
I think this trade comes at an interesting time as we are testing the island top from two weeks ago as well as the upper zone of the magenta wedge in my last NYMO chart.
Also, eumpel's ellipses have a time signal on deck. So, there is a confluence of things.
While the setup is designed to capture price working off overbought conditions over a few days, maybe just maybe it happens to catch a turn for something bigger.
Thus, I figure it is worth posting about even though there is a good chance it will fail or not pay much.
Worst case, it goes into the trash heap of failed trades, and we wait for the next setup.
I haven't a clue what will happen.
I won't be posting this Friday as I am headed to FL to play some golf.
Big market moves seem to happen when I am unavailable. So, Friday (or Thursday when I am on a plane) could be a big day.
If I am still in this trade by then, I will have scaled out some profit and will try to advance my stop to BE by the time I leave.
Might post Thursday morning.
To avoid any bias that may be present in my last post, just note that we are painting an inside day so far today.
Mr. Market may just as easily decide to break that up rather than down tomorrow.
My setup has little predictive value.
Mr. BachNut wrote:To avoid any bias that may be present in my last post, just note that we are painting an inside day so far today.
Mr. Market may just as easily decide to break that up rather than down tomorrow.
My setup has little predictive value.
Thanks Boss, appreciate your posts. Have fun down here in Florida and spend lots of money, we need it in Florida!! LOL!
Daily, short term, not intraday
I don’t have overbought momentum (stochastics-9) here on charts #1, #2, #5, #6, #7, #8
Almost all are above 20ema (cyan), all could go higher
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
Standing on the platform waiting to see if the 3:30 Ramp Express runs today. Haven't bought a ticket. Put my ear on the rail and couldn't feel a thing.
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uempel wrote:Close up of Tuesday's time signal. This is not a slam dunk, but these kind of signals tend to be valid i.e. the market ought to make a good move.
TS.png
My guess is up, the I H&S on the one hour chart might play out. If it does we will head to 2329.
uempel wrote:Close up of Tuesday's time signal. This is not a slam dunk, but these kind of signals tend to be valid i.e. the market ought to make a good move.
TS.png
My guess is up, the I H&S on the one hour chart might play out. If it does we will head to 2329.
That was very easy call... try you luck with tough call...
uempel wrote:Close up of Tuesday's time signal. This is not a slam dunk, but these kind of signals tend to be valid i.e. the market ought to make a good move.
TS.png
My guess is up, the I H&S on the one hour chart might play out. If it does we will head to 2329.
That was very easy call... try you luck with tough call...
uempel wrote:Close up of Tuesday's time signal. This is not a slam dunk, but these kind of signals tend to be valid i.e. the market ought to make a good move.
TS.png
My guess is up, the I H&S on the one hour chart might play out. If it does we will head to 2329.
That was very easy call... try you luck with tough call...
You are very rude.
Sorry if you got offended, that was not intention. It was sarcastic quote...based on how market is going up up and up...sorry again..cheers
uempel wrote:Close up of Tuesday's time signal. This is not a slam dunk, but these kind of signals tend to be valid i.e. the market ought to make a good move.
TS.png
My guess is up, the I H&S on the one hour chart might play out. If it does we will head to 2329.
That was very easy call... try you luck with tough call...
You are very rude.
Sorry if you got offended, that was not intention. It was sarcastic quote...based on how market is going up up and up...sorry again..cheers
Thank you for your apology. I was too defensive. For some reason I momentarily lost my sense of humour. Cheers.