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John Kemp has updated is oil spec holdings charts. He explains that with OPEC claiming they will cut if price drops below $50 managers don't see the need to have a balanced trade. However the last paragraph lists the three things that can go wrong, falling demand, cheating and of course rising non-OPEC production. http://www.reuters.com/article/oil-hedg ... SL8N1G53BB
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
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No idea what happened at about 10:05 Eastern but it sure gave this market a boost . Those blue lines are the one and two standard deviations away from VWAP. If the Average Daily Range sticks it looks like there isn't a lot of up left.
Brent Crude short squeeze developing according to Kemp in the May June contract. Without naming names he reminds everyone of how well Glencore orchestrated that last spring when two North Sea fields were down for maintenance. So that will be a good tell for journalists writing about oil. If they cite Brent backwardation when WTI is still in contango without explaining last years artificial short squeeze then they will be writing propaganda for OPEC.
So will this be like the fifth week in a row where you short crude today before API inventory then go long tomorrow when EIA report comes out confirming the build then get out fast to cash? (insert clip of Vegas craps table) Like Daytrading ES said this weekend when they are shipping gasoline from New York to west Africa to find a market something isn't right.