soku wrote:
if es can hold 1203 (not too far off), it could be another bullish pattern, and it will pull us back into the previous box.
add: the quality of this drop is not too good. the far most i can see is still 1198
my model says 1198 area has 66% chance of reversal. the low was 1198.75 for now. let's see.
The goal is not uniformity. It is understanding and idea exchange.
It's getting clear to me what was going on.... the sharks got caught with their pants down on Monday's gap down... the pbar that day to today's high was an indication that they were going to squeeze the market back up to last Friday's close, luring in the retail herd, and then start distributing...
That's what went on today.... they unloaded and kept it steady up there... that is why we couldn't "break out" after so many attempts. It was just the sharks unloading to the unsuspecting herd who were expecting a break out and continuation upwards.
The sharks know what the Bernank is going to say. He is not going to come out with the nuclear bomb that the market is crying for. Even if he wanted to launch the nuke, he is not allowed to because others (political powers that be) think that it will kill the system, though various ways, financial and non-financial. When politics get involved, it's not that easy anymore.
Watch out tomorrow- we may have just completed the right shoulder and could head back down in a hurry to probe for new lows.
Still fully loaded on TVIX. Weekly 10/80 SMA cross is my guiding light.
BullTart wrote:It's getting clear to me what was going on.... the sharks got caught with their pants down on Monday's gap down... the pbar that day to today's high was an indication that they were going to squeeze the market back up to last Friday's close, luring in the retail herd, and then start distributing...
That's what went on today.... they unloaded and kept it steady up there... that is why we couldn't "break out" after so many attempts. It was just the sharks unloading to the unsuspecting herd who were expecting a break out and continuation upwards.
The sharks know what the Bernank is going to say. He is not going to come out with the nuclear bomb that the market is crying for. Even if he wanted to launch the nuke, he is not allowed to because others (political powers that be) think that it will kill the system, though various ways, financial and non-financial. When politics get involved, it's not that easy anymore.
Watch out tomorrow- we may have just completed the right shoulder and could head back down in a hurry to probe for new lows.
maybe thats why they call us the dumb money.
Still fully loaded on TVIX. Weekly 10/80 SMA cross is my guiding light.