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11/04/2025 Live Update

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Cobra
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11/04/2025 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

Post by Trades w 2 Cats »

ES 12-25 (2000 Tick) 2025_11_04 (6_17_16 AM).png
From the top the overnight volume. Makes it look like retail dip buyers could reverse this quickly. Goldman saying funds will not be major sellers. Price will tell us what happens.
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BullBear52x
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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

Gap play, go or no go.
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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

Post by Trades w 2 Cats »

ES 12-25 (2000 Tick) 2025_11_04 (6_57_06 AM).png
6840 is 50% of the drop.
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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

It's a morning hourly hollow red

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BullBear52x
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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

Gap and no go, new box, make or break.
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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

People are quick to buy the dips, gap filled? it's clear on the /ES
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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

Intraday, new swing low, it is bearish bias. find excuse to sell, same playbook, different day :D
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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

Fearful market, no fear no bear. bears are roaming here, know where your money is......
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Cobra
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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

Descending triangle, break the blue line is more likely.

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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

You know the routine.....the RED line pivotal.
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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

Post by Trades w 2 Cats »

ES 12-25 (2000 Tick) 2025_11_04 (9_32_35 AM).png
Just for giggles and grins this count is valid so far.
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Cobra
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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

Still bias is down. The blue line below could be the target from where we'll if it's a classical breakdown then reversal up again.

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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

Post by Trades w 2 Cats »

ES 12-25 (2000 Tick) 2025_11_04 (10_35_13 AM).png
Looking like the big boys really want 6,800 to hold.
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Cobra
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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

Nice breakout so some chances it's a double bottom (green arrows) the low was in. However, more often, there's another small leg down before a bottom could be possible as illustrated by dashed blue lines.

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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

Post by Trades w 2 Cats »

ES 12-25 (2000 Tick) 2025_11_04 (11_42_04 AM).png
I thought that 6810 would hold. I thought wrong. Next guess is we test the overnight low. Need some positive news blast or this could keep going.
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Cobra
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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

So as usual "more often" indeed happened. Since this is the 3rd test the blue line, the more test the less likely the line would hold so breakdown should be more likely after which we'll see whether it's a classical breakdown then reversal up. A decisive breakdown then we can forget bulls.

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Re: 11/04/2025 Live Update

Post by Trades w 2 Cats »

That is three touches at 6,795 all at least an hour apart. Clearly it is now the line in the sand. :o
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