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Testing the previous low, 50% chances of double bottom here.
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EMA20 now is the bear's last chance for another leg down. So far looks like a range day.
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Finally a valid breakdown of the blue line. Now safe to say this bear shall have legs.
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Two scenarios. First, history does not provide a clue so expect a waterfall drop if oil isn't turned around. Second one is that the last four times the 200 day was breached there was a snap back rally then the real drop happened.
Left side of the daily shows some prior congestion areas where there could possibly still be some support.
Nightmare scenario is of course that the 401 K IRA crowd decides to get out of their index funds. Index funds have no cash so significant withdraws would cause consistent selling.
Walter Deemer on X-
At 2 eastern we are at a 66% down day. Walt says the Lowry's definition of a reversal set up needs a 90% down day for capitulation. He also says not all reversal follow the rules.
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