guys call me crazy but you all know ive been aggressively short nflx via puts since 240 in and out . i think its time to buy small call position . i see +ve div on daily chart....could b good for a vol increase to earnings then its upto u if u want to play those or not .
We will still revisit the high per MAD rule right ?
or was that done today as it was intraday
I think I said yesterday: down today. higher high might be a few days later.
Right i read that but i couldnt remember if it was higher close or intraday high . i think it means intraday high and wasnt that visited today at 1229 ?
Corba~ check with the PMI chart, volume surge which means exhaustion.
Stupid me, wanna to sell at this morning but click the buy .... Can I hold to tmr to see if ER can save me?
Biggest tell for me today was copper. It was very weak from the start. Couple that with DeMark daily perfected sell setup and I had to break my own rules and chase the downside trade a bit. Take a look at copper's chart, it has completely rolled over, suggesting the stock market may do the same. Copper has already re-traced over 50% of its gains since the lows.
spuderik wrote:Biggest tell for me today was copper. It was very weak from the start. Couple that with DeMark daily perfected sell setup and I had to break my own rules and chase the downside trade a bit. Take a look at copper's chart, it has completely rolled over, suggesting the stock market may do the same. Copper has already re-traced over 50% of its gains since the lows.
spuderik wrote:Biggest tell for me today was copper. It was very weak from the start. Couple that with DeMark daily perfected sell setup and I had to break my own rules and chase the downside trade a bit. Take a look at copper's chart, it has completely rolled over, suggesting the stock market may do the same. Copper has already re-traced over 50% of its gains since the lows.
Can you share with me the DeMark sell setup? Where can I read more about it?
spuderik wrote:Biggest tell for me today was copper. It was very weak from the start. Couple that with DeMark daily perfected sell setup and I had to break my own rules and chase the downside trade a bit. Take a look at copper's chart, it has completely rolled over, suggesting the stock market may do the same. Copper has already re-traced over 50% of its gains since the lows.
thats a nice H&S formation
Not to mention that copper's recovery was very weak relative to its highs (vs SPY recovery). That bodes ill for the stock market in longer terms. I still believe this current malaise will be bought somewhere in 1100s and make the move for the 200 day MA by Nov/Dec timeframe. That's where I am looking to add longer term higher risk put option trades.
gabor wrote:Yeahh!!!!!! Go go bears, it is my yacht ... I do not want big, just a small toy one.
I think bulls will be squized to 1120-1130/ES area within 1-2 days. Then bulls can start dreaming again.
It is my wild guess. Bulls became spoiled in the past 2 weeks, they became overconfident, have to be punished first.
1120-1130 in a couple days? Wow, that would entail the wildest imagination!
I overviewed many bear market rallies. If they have two legs up, the first retracement is at fibo 38.2% or a little below of the previous gain. Now it makes 1135 in ES.
ES 1135 in the near term? Maybe, possiblely, likely . . . But in a couple days? Do you seriously mean that as a realistic posibility?
Even with wild imagination, that would need some bear-friendly ammunitions in the magnitute of a nuclear bomb.
Bro we went from 107.5->122 in 7 days. 13% swing. Anything is possible nowadays, even if it has the SLIGHTEST CHANCE of happening. I'm just sayin..
spuderik wrote:Biggest tell for me today was copper. It was very weak from the start. Couple that with DeMark daily perfected sell setup and I had to break my own rules and chase the downside trade a bit. Take a look at copper's chart, it has completely rolled over, suggesting the stock market may do the same. Copper has already re-traced over 50% of its gains since the lows.
Can you share with me the DeMark sell setup? Where can I read more about it?
You can pick up most of the sequential and countdown stuff online for free at different sites. I only use sequential and countdown as trading evidence. I will try to find a simple explanation and pass it along. Kevin Depew at Minyanville does a terrific job of tracking DeMark Indicators (subscription only unfortunately).