Cobra wrote:this kind of consolidation is bullish.
Dont know but what I am looking at the bear case is starting to strengthen more and more...
Time will tell .my stops at 1271 with target at 1233. 1263 short... all trades are closed Monday time
rhight wrote:Here is one of my incredibly busy charts. Please excuse. The important things to note are that the prior high at 1277 was turned at the 78.6% retrace of the prior swing low, and now we are testing the 78.6% retrace (1267) of the next prior swing, at the same time that we back testing a trend line from the 10/4 low. Support on the 5 week decelerated TL (or neckline of a possible complex H&S pattern?) Taking a gamble for the next 60 min. swing low with a short at 1267, although the high of this swing up may not be in yet. Stop above 1277.
love your T/A but still better than 50/50. I'd rate your about 65% chance winning rate.
Thank you, my TA is great, in my very humble opinion of course, but my trading absolutely sucks. There you go, that's the bottom line. Now, I must begin following my rules, tomorrow, for sure, I promise.
Swing to Intermediate SPX Analysis - multiple time frame - Daily & 60 min time and price cycle analysis.
Usually trade SSO / SDS
after nearly 3 hours, finally the price touches the EMA20. Let's see if any buy setup here.
Attachments
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Mr. BachNut wrote:Random observation: We've had a rising VIX along with the rising market this morning. Divergence.
yes, I've noticed that, very interesting.
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taggard wrote:Well, everyone knows I'm purely TA and it does work. Tradings on the other hand is different because besides TA, there's a more difficult part which is EMOTION. I still cannot put my emotion away and that's why I'm still poor.
On this site as well as most others there is epic focus on such things as "targets" "news" and "statistics" and very little focus on the inner trader. This is is too bad and causes a lot of suffering for many new and older traders.
Thanks, and welcome aboard! I'm really glad you did pay attention to what I posted.
And I agree with you. Emotion is a very important fact in trading and rarely we talk about here and I believe somewhere else as well.
"Trading in the Zone" by Mark Douglas helped me with my perspective. It is all about the mental game.
Swing to Intermediate SPX Analysis - multiple time frame - Daily & 60 min time and price cycle analysis.
Usually trade SSO / SDS
taggard wrote:Well, everyone knows I'm purely TA and it does work. Tradings on the other hand is different because besides TA, there's a more difficult part which is EMOTION. I still cannot put my emotion away and that's why I'm still poor.
On this site as well as most others there is epic focus on such things as "targets" "news" and "statistics" and very little focus on the inner trader. This is is too bad and causes a lot of suffering for many new and older traders.
Thanks, and welcome aboard! I'm really glad you did pay attention to what I posted.
And I agree with you. Emotion is a very important fact in trading and rarely we talk about here and I believe somewhere else as well.
"Trading in the Zone" by Mark Douglas helped me with my perspective. It is all about the mental game.
Yes, "Trading in the Zone" is good..
I’ll tell you my solution:
When I watch CNBC or Bloomberg, during trading hours, in front of the TV I put a thick corrugated glass screen and I have handy a bunch of small sand-filled balloons. Destination: “talking heads”! Cools me alright!
rhight wrote:Here is one of my incredibly busy charts. Please excuse. The important things to note are that the prior high at 1277 was turned at the 78.6% retrace of the prior swing low, and now we are testing the 78.6% retrace (1267) of the next prior swing, at the same time that we back testing a trend line from the 10/4 low. Support on the 5 week decelerated TL (or neckline of a possible complex H&S pattern?) Taking a gamble for the next 60 min. swing low with a short at 1267, although the high of this swing up may not be in yet. Stop above 1277.
love your T/A but still better than 50/50. I'd rate your about 65% chance winning rate.
Thank you, my TA is great, in my very humble opinion of course, but my trading absolutely sucks. There you go, that's the bottom line. Now, I must begin following my rules, tomorrow, for sure, I promise.
I just down 1000 shares of SPXU. small bet. stop loss slightly at the top of the triangle. Will hold over the weekend.
taggard wrote:Well, everyone knows I'm purely TA and it does work. Tradings on the other hand is different because besides TA, there's a more difficult part which is EMOTION. I still cannot put my emotion away and that's why I'm still poor.
On this site as well as most others there is epic focus on such things as "targets" "news" and "statistics" and very little focus on the inner trader. This is is too bad and causes a lot of suffering for many new and older traders.
Thanks, and welcome aboard! I'm really glad you did pay attention to what I posted.
And I agree with you. Emotion is a very important fact in trading and rarely we talk about here and I believe somewhere else as well.
"Trading in the Zone" by Mark Douglas helped me with my perspective. It is all about the mental game.
have you tried keeping a record of your mental states on each trade? after 30-90 trades patterns sort of leap out. i try to track this on excel in one long text line and then track quality of entries and exits. really long stuff goes in a journal along with data on quality and timing of entries and exits. then i save each day on a 5 min chart--this allows going back over time and checking perceptions and actions.
soku wrote:an interesting chart. just sharing what i see
Nice, SOKU!
2nd that.
Louise Yamada ( excellent technincal analyst ) commented about the SAME pattern you see here, and expects that 2012 could play out as 2008 did?? hmmmmm