BullBear52x wrote:rhight wrote:To put a little perspective on things. I added some notes this morning to be mindful of. No predictions, but the political tool known as the "free" market (for congressmen and women) is floating at even on the year. Is there an index for inside trades by our elected representatives?

(Referring to 60 Minutes article last night)
Rhight, like your chart, watch RSI 5 (daily) cross back below 50 then this turn will be a real deal for bears until my uncle awake

Thanks BullBear52x, I enjoy seeing your perspective also. This is the thing about TA, there is more than one way to skin a cat (sorry vegans). There are so many indicators, and settings for those indicators, as you know, that one just has to settle on a few that they can learn to "read" in a reliable way. And just to be confusing, I don't actually use RSI(2) Daily, but it's on my Daily chart because I like to monitor the current "Trading Markets" set-up as another point of reference, since it's statistically based. My goal is to be a consistent swing trader with an eye to catching the really big intermediate trends, rather than day trade. Therefore many days I'm not on this bb because the shorter term perspective can have a negative influence on my judgment in trying to establish relatively longer term positions. I'm naturally a bear (and that is not a good thing) and it has taken me awhile to fully appreciate the bullish bias in the market. For that reason, I've been more willing to take risk on the short side, than on the long. That of course has to change if I'm going to be more consistently successful. I've spent lots of time studying both tops and bottoms (trends are those things that happen in between

). In my experience, bottoms don't give many false signals, but continuation zones can do an awfully good job of masquerading as tops! And that is where we are today. Is this a continuation zone, or a top? It should be no surprise, given my bias, that I'm short in the intermediate term, and am looking for some sort of tradable bottom towards the end of this month, based on my timing models. Of course, if all the Fed-speak this week implies QE to come, we have to recognize that "talking the market up" works, (or it wouldn't be used), and I may be forced to cover my shorts even though many fundamentals are pointing towards economic weakness, especially next year.
Swing to Intermediate SPX Analysis - multiple time frame - Daily & 60 min time and price cycle analysis.
Usually trade SSO / SDS