SB73 wrote:SB73 wrote:Me XMan wrote:Lucky I covered half yesterday. Now wait 1hr and see with this big gap up.
Stops got ran while I was sleeping, still made some money...what can I say. Overnight market is a roll the dice situation. We now have 4 straight gaps higher.
I guess I should be paying attention 4 straight gaps higher should be roll with loaded dice

it is a very delicate balance being firm enough to hold over night and not holding too long. also some of your points--such as nobody is short they are all looking for the claws rally--were valid (using put call data yesterday in any case). also i think it was you (could be wrong) that suggested that the move down should end with a gap down that gets bot. that seemed right and confirmed the idea of the "nobody is short thing".
the only thing working against all this is the idea that trading is thin--and it's to almost everyone's advantage to get the year to "at least break even".
i have no clue if they do or not--i do have oversold on my stuff which works into early jan. what i get out of this is the idea "they have to try" more than "this is what happens".
also the news flow was amazing--now they are talking about china (finally) and the euro dudes are thrashing. very short term the negative attitude stuff was insane--i cannot explain why this existed in addition to the put/call data which was not ideal.
nice effort--enjoyed watching and learning from you.
http://lasertrader.wordpress.com/2011/1 ... -think-so/