springheel_jack wrote:Just for the record Prechter advised his subscribers to go (leveraged!!!) short at about 1290 with a stop at 1360, on the basis on imminent major 3 down or whatever. I also have it on very good authority that EWI counts all conform to EW rules, however wildly wide of the mark they eventually turn out to be.
Updating Prechter's record......
Prechter started calling a top by AT LEAST 988 SPX on August 28, 2009. Two others who have subscribed confirmed Aug, 2009. Those shorts have never been covered. He did not advise everyone to go short, but only traders and not investors. It's a nice marketing technique. He did catch 80%+ of the down move. But it would be unfair to single him out as I saw a list of the top ten market analysts with a solid record ALL stating the top was in place near SPX 1000.
As to his validity of counts to theory, that is not correct. I could pull many charts of theirs up and point out where they have violations and I know people who have written to them and the replies are rather cryptic. They have violated them with regularity to fit their bearish stance. The best thing for bears is his capitulation and retirement.
B waves are drawn out affairs. Note on the chart (taken from August 28, 2009), and this count changed multiple times, the brevity of the B waves. When a B wave is minuscule to wave A the count is always going to be wrong and it is likely a 2 or an X wave.
Well that's your view. I don't have a personal opinion as I don't use EW much but a very good EW analyst friend tells me that all their counts are all technically flawless, though obviously frequently overtaken by reality shortly afterwards. No-one that you know. Obviously one of you must be mistaken.
I know Prechter's called many many tops. Hence the joke about him correctly predicting 30 of the last 3 bear markets.
There is no advertising for his program (expensive) or service. These are on StockTwits at no cost and no discussion takes place.
Those crazy HFT things always causing havoc with the market. Please tell us more trading Jesus with the high IQ. How about just understanding that support on the spx is around 1335 and momentum is still up. Oh yes i forgot that information wasnt' complicated enough for the high IQ members here! LOL
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
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evil plan for fun. not sure how far this rebound can go because so far it could be a small bear flag.
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Im interested in OPAP after euro issue will be solved, any recommendations?
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My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.