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Extremely scary to be bear. Everyone including their mothers, fathers, sons and daughters are getting ready or already short the market. Hopefully, we will not be disappointed.soku wrote:an interesting video. doug kass calling for a 5-6% correction. my calculation it is 1300.
they also discussed the missing volume. pete says it's option market holding more vol. instead of selling people buying puts to hedge.
evidence, yesterday 1m spy puts were bot.
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000074689
I don't think I would be all that wrong to think that with fewer players now, that software they said in a court case (the part stolen from an employee leaving GS who parked it on a server in Germany who is now in jail) could be used to manipulate the market, in the wrong hands, is now burning premium every Thursday and Friday by holding the mkt where it is after positioning during the week. To anyone who has been a professional trader, this is a bad market. That the "banks" never lose makes it an extremely crooked market. Elections have consequences and debts are owed. I can only hope things change in 2012 as that trader tax is likely going to be pushed through to end all of this both here and in the EU....or what remains of it!soku wrote:an interesting video. doug kass calling for a 5-6% correction. my calculation it is 1300.
they also discussed the missing volume. pete says it's option market holding more vol. instead of selling people buying puts to hedge.
evidence, yesterday 1m spy puts were bot.
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000074689
well, doug kass is probably the last trader to be a bear. in late dec he called for spx all time high in 2nd half of 2012. after the past 2 months, i guess people are getting more serious about this call.btran874 wrote:Extremely scary to be bear. Everyone including their mothers, fathers, sons and daughters are getting ready or already short the market. Hopefully, we will not be disappointed.soku wrote:an interesting video. doug kass calling for a 5-6% correction. my calculation it is 1300.
they also discussed the missing volume. pete says it's option market holding more vol. instead of selling people buying puts to hedge.
evidence, yesterday 1m spy puts were bot.
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000074689
I am betting Wave 3 up to 1384 by the way.
In a quest for survival they tend not to do dumb things. And buying a mkt that was up less than 1/10th of 1% on the year was considered dumb in light of all numbers being cooked to get to that level. Some younger guys I know are looking at older guys leave trading firms and wondering if they should too.soku wrote:market not moving. time to do more reading.
zh reports, "Following Abysmal 2011, Only 10% Of Hedge Funds Are Outperforming The S&P In 2012"
That's only "C" if we start tanking in wave 3.BullBear52x wrote:C it is.....
no mater what tight stop and be nimble as I can be.SWalsh wrote:That's only "C" if we start tanking in wave 3.BullBear52x wrote:C it is.....
I thought after running Prechter out of his position it was the top. But I'm pretty sure he issued an alert to go to "maximum leverage" short again. But his stop is probably at 2001 SPX... the price, not the year!![]()
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