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resistance. a little bearish biased.
aapl should be more down.
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A frustrating market for Bulls and Bears alike – I have been leaning long for 8 days now (thankfully in the MID and RUT), but the price action definitely does not inspire like previous opex bottoms….
The post Opex trade should have a strong bounce and a lot more energy – like the post april opex bounce, so I am getting much more cautious until we see where we are on Tuesday…. Many signs pointed to a strong bounce for today and the inability of the Dax to maintain its over 1.5% bounce is a red flag for the long weekend for me, especially given the very strong record of the Tuesday after Memorial Day producing lows – not highs.
-D
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Memorial Day
Overall
• A significant point every time – had been a low point until 2011 when it was a MAJOR top
Pre 2007 • 7 for 9
• Always a minor bottom, if it was a turn with the exception of 2002 and 2003 where it did not work – 1999 and 2000 were major bottoms
Post 2007 • 4 for 5
• With the exception of 2007, the day after has been a significant turn, in 2007 the Thursday before was a BIG down day and then we continued rallying
Recent • 2011: Major TOP the day after
Hourly Signals • 2011 on the 3rd signal produced a good sell, but that is it
• 2009 with a Moon produced a great buy signal
Denali92 wrote:A frustrating market for Bulls and Bears alike – I have been leaning long for 8 days now (thankfully in the MID and RUT), but the price action definitely does not inspire like previous opex bottoms….
The post Opex trade should have a strong bounce and a lot more energy – like the post april opex bounce, so I am getting much more cautious until we see where we are on Tuesday…. Many signs pointed to a strong bounce for today and the inability of the Dax to maintain its over 1.5% bounce is a red flag for the long weekend for me, especially given the very strong record of the Tuesday after Memorial Day producing lows – not highs.
-D
************************
Memorial Day
Overall
• A significant point every time – had been a low point until 2011 when it was a MAJOR top
Pre 2007 • 7 for 9
• Always a minor bottom, if it was a turn with the exception of 2002 and 2003 where it did not work – 1999 and 2000 were major bottoms
Post 2007 • 4 for 5
• With the exception of 2007, the day after has been a significant turn, in 2007 the Thursday before was a BIG down day and then we continued rallying
Recent • 2011: Major TOP the day after
Hourly Signals • 2011 on the 3rd signal produced a good sell, but that is it
• 2009 with a Moon produced a great buy signal
Nice analysis.... there could be something negative happening over the weekend...could be down on 29-30th next week, but positivity could come back on 31st-1st... don't know how negative, could be just a minor pull back the way the price action is going...???
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