KeiZai wrote:bounce to zero PPO would be nice, but seems unrealistic
THANKS key
I watch something similar
can u say what your ppo 1/89/1 does for u?
does it just tell u when it breaks 89ma? or what?
Top panel: when the TIPS to MEDIUM BONDS RATIO moves up it means money printing and inflation are in vogue…. just not so much now…
Bottom panel: when the JUNK to CORPORATE BONDS RATIO is up “risk is on” as folks jump into riskier high-yield-junk bonds instead of corporates…. just not at the moment…
You can see that both ratios have a sweet relationship with SPY … note where both called the ’09 bottom a few months early, etc…
Conclusion: not bull spy
530bondratio.png
yes bud above 89 SMA is risk on, below risk off same as yours
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
EURUSD is a leading indicator, but depending the trading hours, it can be more or less significant.
At this time, as US is the only market open (Europe is closed) a new LOD - if not a powerfull one - is not enough to push everything lower to new LOD.
Check in the same time the effect on the commo (copper, crude...) and the bonds, you will have a better picture....well, I think...
correlation is very high but leading not works all the time, for more info try google
EDIT: nice pic al
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
EURUSD is a leading indicator, but depending the trading hours, it can be more or less significant.
At this time, as US is the only market open (Europe is closed) a new LOD - if not a powerfull one - is not enough to push everything lower to new LOD.
Check in the same time the effect on the commo (copper, crude...) and the bonds, you will have a better picture....well, I think...
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
EURUSD is a leading indicator, but depending the trading hours, it can be more or less significant.
At this time, as US is the only market open (Europe is closed) a new LOD - if not a powerfull one - is not enough to push everything lower to new LOD.
Check in the same time the effect on the commo (copper, crude...) and the bonds, you will have a better picture....well, I think...
Louie
When in doubt, go with the Frenchie
He’s a smart cookie
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.