kamukak wrote:Does anyone suggest going short here? Cobra is time to have some shorts now?
Cannot answer this here. Day trading, yes, I was short, but accidently stopped out after partial profit, so now I'm empty handed.
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Mr. BachNut wrote:One comment on Crude Oil.
Look at a weekly chart.
Yesterday, it pierced below a rising bottoms line from the February 2009 low.
It has been consolidating above this line for the last four weeks. So, the line was providing support.
The significance of the break probably explains the big volumes in USO yesterday.
It could be a move to force capitulation and set up for the turn, but if not, a revisit to those 2009 lows is technically in the range of outcomes over a longer time horizon.
Hard to believe.
The follow through from here should be informative.
as oil magnate I love the drop in oil - plus Chesapeake self destruct button
This is an amazing time to buy the assets morons can't run for profit - even when barrel extraction price is like 15$ in the states - oil industry - while an engineering field - is complete morons - its bizarre how stupid oil people are and how lacking the fundamentals of engineering and technology are deployed
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Mr. BachNut wrote:One comment on Crude Oil.
Look at a weekly chart.
Yesterday, it pierced below a rising bottoms line from the February 2009 low.
It has been consolidating above this line for the last four weeks. So, the line was providing support.
The significance of the break probably explains the big volumes in USO yesterday.
It could be a move to force capitulation and set up for the turn, but if not, a revisit to those 2009 lows is technically in the range of outcomes over a longer time horizon.
Hard to believe.
The follow through from here should be informative.
I took a quick look and I saw 60.00 oil in 2009????
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Mr. BachNut wrote:One comment on Crude Oil.
Look at a weekly chart.
Yesterday, it pierced below a rising bottoms line from the February 2009 low.
It has been consolidating above this line for the last four weeks. So, the line was providing support.
The significance of the break probably explains the big volumes in USO yesterday.
It could be a move to force capitulation and set up for the turn, but if not, a revisit to those 2009 lows is technically in the range of outcomes over a longer time horizon.
Hard to believe.
The follow through from here should be informative.
I took a quick look and I saw 60.00 oil in 2009????
Oh yeah - and that's when companies like Pemex come looking for help from me- as all of a sudden their gross inefficiencies can no longer be masked by 130$ barrels (see 2008)
And it still only costs 25$ barrel extraction offshore gulf of Mexico (not deep water stuff, this is 60$+)
Mr. BachNut wrote:Something to watch. There is a well defined rising wedge on the ES future. The break could be a mover.
Rising Wedge.jpg
I am short hard on ES since yesterday
Definitely saw that wedge - but the crazy swings yesterday started to form a wedge pointing up
The spx 8ma and 60ma crossed and towards bears - with moody downgrades plus other poor data I think some resolution down is going happen now - you are right in that it may just be a buy the bounce
One thing about that wedge. Given the width of the wedge, the target for a move on a break would be back to the June 4 low. So, that is a counter to the mild correction/dip buy argument. So, my mind is open to both possibilities at the moment.