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Xian wrote:Hi everyone, Thought I'd interrupt your regularly scheduled programing of excellent charts and analysis to bring you something completely worthless.
Here's a brief timeline of events last time Russia decided part of someone else's country was actually theirs.
Of course there was something else preoccupying the world in '08. Can't put my finger on it. Have it written down somewhere.....
Hi boss, nice 2 c u againXian wrote:Hi everyone, Thought I'd interrupt your regularly scheduled programing of excellent charts and analysis to bring you something completely worthless. Here's a brief timeline of events last time Russia decided part of someone else's country was actually theirs. Of course there was something else preoccupying the world in '08. Can't put my finger on it. Have it written down somewhere.....
The ETF flows from January 1, 2014 to Thursday Feb 27 (the latest data) are eye popping to say the least.uempel wrote:Hi Al_Dente, working on a Saturday? ....
You at "Le Happy"? I'm at the TotòAl_Dente wrote:edit
I just corrected my math typo
Good write up Ump...I am thinking along the same lines as you. Idk why but this move by Russia gives me a pit in my stomach. I don't like saying this but I think the best option for the US is to stay away. This could escalate way beyond anyone could imagine. Just like WW2 next Poland will have to become involved and start beefing up the border forces...Then NATO...uempel wrote:Very nice Xian, thanks.
I posted this in Cobra's blog a few minutes ago:
A close look at what's happening in the Ukraine and its implications for Monday morning:
Europe is totally dependent on Russian natural gas. Russian gas is pumped thru huge pipelines passing through the Ukraine and Belarus - approx 30% of European gas consumption goes thru these pipelines. Disruption or merely anticipation of disruption will weaken the Euro and strengthen the USD on Monday.
Why will the Euro be weaker? Remember that silver Porsche in your driveway? E.g. German auto industry requires huge amounts of energy - any disruption will kill German exports.
The new dollars will be risk-off money - they will boost Treasuries and not go into equities.
Why won't these new dollars flow into equities next week? A higher USD is not what the American economy wants - a strong USD will weaken the balance sheet of US companies which operate internationally - e.g. big technology.
Recap for Monday: USD and US treasuries up and Euro down - and equities in developed markets down too. Exception: oil and raw material related equities might be up.
By the way: Russian behavior in regards to territorial integrity of the Ukraine is not very reassuring. Reminds Europeans of Hitler marching into Austria 1938 and into Bohemia and Moravia in 1939.
uempel
Xian wrote:Hi everyone, Thought I'd interrupt your regularly scheduled programing of excellent charts and analysis to bring you something completely worthless.
Here's a brief timeline of events last time Russia decided part of someone else's country was actually theirs.
Of course there was something else preoccupying the world in '08. Can't put my finger on it. Have it written down somewhere.....
Hi Boss: I toasted one to you… well okay a few….uempel wrote:You at "Le Happy"? I'm at the Totò