Back to www.cobrasmarketview.com

08/29/2014 Live Update

User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 64719
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

If you're StockCharts member, please do me a little favor by "vote" and the most importantly "follow" my public chart list HERE. You need "follow" only once but vote can be done everyday, so whenever you have time, please vote for me, thanks! If you're not StockCharts member, you can also help boosting my rank by clicking the link once everyday.
  • Please, again, all my calls in the daily live update is for intra-day only, they're absolutely invalid when the closing bell rings. If you're interested in the forecast for days and weeks, Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
  • Personal attack on any board members won't be tolerated. Please limit your topic to trade related only.
  • Please no direct link to your personal web site or blog. You must post rich contents here. You can, however, put link to your personal web site or blog as your signature.
  • I'm very busy during the trading hour, so your question posted on board might not be answered. For a guaranteed answer to your question please send email to [email protected].
========================================================================================================================================================================

50% chances of double top, break the horizontal blue line below to confirm.
Attachments
1.png

Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
cletus
Posts: 1445
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 10:45 am

Re: 08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by cletus »

Crude is approaching its target as told. That's just a first level. This thing is going to fly.
Attachments
Untitled.png
User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 64719
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

Re: 08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by Cobra »


Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
cletus
Posts: 1445
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 10:45 am

Re: 08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by cletus »

As for VIX:VXV the new all time highs were predicted a few weeks ago based on VXV pushing to a new high ahead of the VIX. The call was correct. Now we have another milestone. VIX:VXV plunged to a "warning" zone. We could play around here for a few days before the next pullback begins.
Attachments
sc (5).png
User avatar
L_T
Posts: 1609
Joined: Tue Sep 13, 2011 9:49 am

Re: 08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by L_T »

Thanks to Mr Bachnut for the commentary re: coffee. Nice seasonality chart.

Al my T2104 is showing red vol stop dots but SPY hasn't made a lower low yet. I guess it would depend on personal rules whether or not this would be an exit signal.
User avatar
L_T
Posts: 1609
Joined: Tue Sep 13, 2011 9:49 am

Re: 08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by L_T »

cletus wrote:Crude is approaching its target as told. That's just a first level. This thing is going to fly.
I like the looks of your crude long idea ever since you mentioned it I think last week sometime. Looks like it may bounce for a bit here.
Attachments
ScreenShot228.jpg
uempel
Posts: 8685
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 6:38 am

Re: 08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by uempel »

Update:
2.png
Close-up
1.png
User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 64719
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

Re: 08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by Cobra »


Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
User avatar
Varaha
Posts: 131
Joined: Tue Apr 15, 2014 12:41 pm

Re: 08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by Varaha »

uempel wrote:Update:
2.png
Close-up
1.png
Uempel: Can you please display your corresponding (updated) similar chart for $DAX?

8-) :geek: :ugeek:
User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 64719
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

Re: 08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

morning hourly black bar.
Attachments
1.png

Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 64719
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

Re: 08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by Cobra »


Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
FlowerGirl
Posts: 698
Joined: Wed Apr 10, 2013 8:07 am
Contact:

Oil Trader

Post by FlowerGirl »

:geek: Closed SCO when price broke above the lower TL. Opened 1/3 position for UCO. Will add more on cross of top two oscillators. Targeting upper blue trend line. :geek:
uso trader.png
uempel
Posts: 8685
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 6:38 am

Re: 08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by uempel »

Varaha wrote:
uempel wrote:Update:
The attachment 2.png is no longer available
Close-up
The attachment 1.png is no longer available
Uempel: Can you please display your corresponding (updated) similar chart for $DAX?

8-) :geek: :ugeek:
Guys, this is for DAX traders resp for Varaha: here the chart. I'm adding two other DAX charts (daily and weekly) which show resistance/support levels. Note that these levels change daily/hourly as they are dependent on the BBs 13/1, 20/2 and MA 9 (daily and weekly levels). These levels are a really helpful for trading DAX ...

These are yesterday's charts as stockcharts updates DAX at the close. At this very moment DAX down at 9391 :shock: (9390: support from steep upwards channel which began August 8th, it's not shown on the charts above)
DAX.png
DD.png
W.png
Last edited by uempel on Fri Aug 29, 2014 10:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
uempel
Posts: 8685
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 6:38 am

Re: 08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by uempel »

DAX very weak, breaking support 9390 and presumably on its way down to 9330 :roll:
User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 64719
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

Re: 08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

triangle, bias is down. but I guess it's range day today so don't expect down much if indeed down.
Attachments
1.png

Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
uempel
Posts: 8685
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 6:38 am

Re: 08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by uempel »

Bye guys, I guess I'm off, as this is (most presumably) going to be a boring day :roll:
99.png
Heck
Posts: 2535
Joined: Thu Nov 15, 2012 4:56 pm
Location: Lake Tahoe, Nevada

Re: 08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by Heck »

Almost 7 Index opening long undervalued puts for each call
= Market major down on "exogenous" martial event:

http://www.ise.com/market-data/isee-index/
User avatar
DellGriffith
Posts: 1803
Joined: Sun Aug 25, 2013 5:24 pm

Re: 08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by DellGriffith »

Looking at daily SPY bollinger bands, the simple moving average (as denoted by the center line of the bollinger band, as opposed to the upper and lower bands) is about to make a bullish cross of the 50 dma. This has a strong record of marking tops as of late. 9 of the last 12 (75%) bullish crosses have resulted in price touching the lower band within 1 month. In several cases, it has marked outright tops.

Interestingly, going back further than 12 cases and the signal doesn't work nearly as well. It seems like a recent development. I like to use it as a secondary or confirmation signal and not directly trade it. I can draw up some charts on this over the weekend.
bearish as of SPY 406 on 2/17/23
currently: end bearish as of SPY 406 on 3/6/23
User avatar
Out of Bounds
Posts: 5623
Joined: Wed Feb 23, 2011 10:11 am
Location: Miami

Re: 08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by Out of Bounds »

DellGriffith wrote:Looking at daily SPY bollinger bands, the simple moving average (as denoted by the center line of the bollinger band, as opposed to the upper and lower bands) is about to make a bullish cross of the 50 dma. This has a strong record of marking tops as of late. 9 of the last 12 (75%) bullish crosses have resulted in price touching the lower band within 1 month. In several cases, it has marked outright tops.

Interestingly, going back further than 12 cases and the signal doesn't work nearly as well. It seems like a recent development. I like to use it as a secondary or confirmation signal and not directly trade it. I can draw up some charts on this over the weekend.
I used to try and trade 'bullish' crosses and found them to be absolutely worthless. They lag actual moves and are only good at letting you know what is in the rear view mirror.
...
User avatar
DellGriffith
Posts: 1803
Joined: Sun Aug 25, 2013 5:24 pm

Re: 08/29/2014 Live Update

Post by DellGriffith »

Out of Bounds wrote:
DellGriffith wrote:Looking at daily SPY bollinger bands, the simple moving average (as denoted by the center line of the bollinger band, as opposed to the upper and lower bands) is about to make a bullish cross of the 50 dma. This has a strong record of marking tops as of late. 9 of the last 12 (75%) bullish crosses have resulted in price touching the lower band within 1 month. In several cases, it has marked outright tops.

Interestingly, going back further than 12 cases and the signal doesn't work nearly as well. It seems like a recent development. I like to use it as a secondary or confirmation signal and not directly trade it. I can draw up some charts on this over the weekend.
I used to try and trade 'bullish' crosses and found them to be absolutely worthless. They lag actual moves and are only good at letting you know what is in the rear view mirror.
I find they can work really well, but maybe I found some good ones on the right indexes.
bearish as of SPY 406 on 2/17/23
currently: end bearish as of SPY 406 on 3/6/23
Post Reply