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Breakout then consolidating above the breakout point, I see nothing wrong.
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tsf wrote:Thank you for sharing your thoughts.
Newbie's observation and question: You often seem to be ahead of the pack (?) Do you follow some early trends?
Out of Bounds wrote:Short this morning. HEAVY.
I'm always early and I often pay for it.
I watch many things and it's difficult to explain because I change the importance of different indicators as the market changes. Lately though, I have noticed that the rally has involved fewer and fewer stocks and that leads me to believe that the rally is losing steam. Just look at the breadths of the different indices.
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Friend of the Cobra board, Urban Carmel @ukarlewitz has a cogent post arguing that the end of QE may not be such a timely catalyst for a drop in equities. Using FRED graphs, he shows that a negative surprise in macro growth (“macro deterioration”) was in past years a much more important catalyst.
And he reminds us that although there is no more POMO, the Fed “plans to reinvest principal payments” from their sizeable holdings ($4.5trillion). “This is equal to about $5b in inflows every month.” http://fat-pitch.blogspot.com/2014/11/t ... .html#more
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
Last week we saw new highs on most of the major indices.
This is the PERFORMANCE of the sectors for all of last week (as of the close Friday). Staples and Utilities, the most defensive sectors, were best. Oy.
Last edited by Al_Dente on Mon Nov 10, 2014 12:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
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Al_Dente,
Regarding your comments this weekend about auctions, I was looking at a watch auction this weekend and prices were very high. I ended up not getting anything. I couldn't believe how high things sold for.
Last edited by Out of Bounds on Mon Nov 10, 2014 12:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.