The NYMO cycle is down... obviously!
However, in spite of limit down halts and such, we have a positive NYMO divergence now that things are trading.
Let's see how things close, but if it holds, some kind of low may be in the cards in coming days.
We closed another down gap target this morning.
I have brought the remaining possible down gap targets that were stranded back onto the radar as they now seem plausible.
However, I have retired Pac-Man. His belly is full. He nailed a lot of targets and more remain, but the analogy doesn't seem amusing anymore...
There remains a stranded NYMO benchmark price at SPX 2595.32 (pea green line).
The model says stranded benchmarks get resolved eventually.
I don't think we get there without a rally first (remember I have no clue what will happen), but it is a level to keep a note of for down the road.
If the NYMO low is in, the February low will become a benchmark level for me (SPX 2855.84).
Quotes will be odds on to go above that in the next NYMO up cycle.
If NYMO closes below the February 28 low, this is kaput.
I am flat at the moment. It has only been day trades for me lately and no holding over the weekend.
I would grumble as quick trades are not my thing, but position trading in FX and commodities has been significantly more orderly.
If the positive NYMO divergence holds and the central banks react (seems probable), perhaps a long equity swing will set up for me.
We shall see.