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05/18/2013 Weekend Update

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Cobra
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05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

Begin with Algo from StockTiming.

Algo really is overbought, so a pullback is due. However since there's no negative divergence yet, so the pullback next week will be shallow and bought and there'll be a new high and then if Algo cannot make a new high then a real pullback is then due. So in short, at least there's still new high ahead.
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Cobra
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

Institutional buying and selling from stocktiming shows institutional accumulation down a little bit and distribution up a little bit, but no real threat to bulls yet.
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Cobra
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

Smart money still 2nd record short.
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Cobra
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

II and AAII. II still mostly bullish.
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II.gif

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tkvprasad
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by tkvprasad »

Cobra;

I remember couple of weeks you mentioned starting a separate thread for longterm equity/etf opportunities; Can you start from this week?
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Cobra
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

Summary of the week's stock picks. good week, cannot believe not many people interested. It's just a simple buy stop.
viewtopic.php?f=10&t=917&p=130902#p130902

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Cobra
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

tkvprasad wrote:Cobra;

I remember couple of weeks you mentioned starting a separate thread for longterm equity/etf opportunities; Can you start from this week?
Sure, what's the forum name you'd like to have?

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Cobra
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

Stock picks for the next week: viewtopic.php?f=10&t=924&p=130905#p130905

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BlackThought
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by BlackThought »

This market is crazy, pullbacks are very shallow
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BlackThought
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by BlackThought »

Cobra do u still utilize the RSI(2) method
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Cobra
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

BlackThought wrote:Cobra do u still utilize the RSI(2) method
Yes. but only use RSI(2) buy dip.

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vikasrao
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by vikasrao »

Cobra wrote:Summary of the week's stock picks. good week, cannot believe not many people interested. It's just a simple buy stop.
viewtopic.php?f=10&t=917&p=130902#p130902
I think they are fantastic. 25 stocks for this week is quite a few though, hard to wait with a buy stop on all of them? My account size might not be large enough for that :)

Wish there was a way to do buy stops through options.
uempel
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by uempel »

Check out this long term SPX numerical, suggests that SPX came to a halt at a pivot. I'm not expecting a huge sell-off on Monday, SPX might linger in the 1645/1660 area and wait for Bernanke's speech next Wednesday 10:00 a.m.
Pivot1667.png
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

A sample trading strategy for my weekly stock picks: viewtopic.php?f=10&t=924&p=130912#p130912

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Cobra
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

vikasrao wrote:
Cobra wrote:Summary of the week's stock picks. good week, cannot believe not many people interested. It's just a simple buy stop.
viewtopic.php?f=10&t=917&p=130902#p130902
I think they are fantastic. 25 stocks for this week is quite a few though, hard to wait with a buy stop on all of them? My account size might not be large enough for that :)

Wish there was a way to do buy stops through options.
It's intentional. Explained here in the last paragraph. Select many candidates can help prevent too many buy stops are placed on the same stock. viewtopic.php?f=10&t=924&p=130912#p130912

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uempel
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by uempel »

uempel wrote:Check out this long term SPX numerical, suggests that SPX came to a halt at a pivot. I'm not expecting a huge sell-off on Monday, SPX might linger in the 1645/1660 area and wait for Bernanke's speech next Wednesday 10:00 a.m.
The attachment Pivot1667.png is no longer available
To confirm the findings on the numerical I checked out the significance of SPX 1667 on the log chart - looks good :D
Pivot 1667Log.png
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Harapa
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by Harapa »

uempel wrote:
uempel wrote:Check out this long term SPX numerical, suggests that SPX came to a halt at a pivot. I'm not expecting a huge sell-off on Monday, SPX might linger in the 1645/1660 area and wait for Bernanke's speech next Wednesday 10:00 a.m.
The attachment Pivot1667.png is no longer available
To confirm the findings on the numerical I checked out the significance of SPX 1667 on the log chart - looks good :D
The attachment Pivot 1667Log.png is no longer available
Another view :geek:
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sp500daily.png
Above is provided for informational purposes only and shouldn't be considered an investment advice or recommendation to buy or sell anything.
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KeiZai
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by KeiZai »

Hello Investors :lol:

"Rimm" is back on my radar, bigger move is coming soon....up or down :arrow: not important wait for the breakout...easy

O: viewtopic.php?f=2&t=809&p=115555#p115555

I personally prefer up, looks Cup&Handlish to me
RIMM2.png

Thanks Cobra, GDOT's setup looks good, daily/weekly chart is terrible :lol: but a scalp above 61.8 for at least 19.90 is very possible
GDOT-I.png
Here is another one for scalpers, looks flaggish and potential neckline backtest could be good entry point with strong support so nice R/R there imo
APP-18may.png
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
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KeiZai
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by KeiZai »

uempel wrote:
uempel wrote:Check out this long term SPX numerical, suggests that SPX came to a halt at a pivot. I'm not expecting a huge sell-off on Monday, SPX might linger in the 1645/1660 area and wait for Bernanke's speech next Wednesday 10:00 a.m.
The attachment Pivot1667.png is no longer available
To confirm the findings on the numerical I checked out the significance of SPX 1667 on the log chart - looks good :D
The attachment Pivot 1667Log.png is no longer available
Thanks uempel nice chart, I went evil on fridays close too but elsewhere :D I like the R/R

FTSE : Target was +- reached at the close and it's the only short I have atm: viewtopic.php?f=2&t=920&p=130629#p130629

FTSE-18MAY02.png
FTSE monthly = so far bullish, consolidation before big breakout would be healthy tho
FTSE-18MAY01.png
R2K: I took the profit on friday, 100%MM is slightly higher...so why I took the profit? Because I don't like weekly close outside of BB - it can mean something or not...we will see but R/R is not good here for me

O: viewtopic.php?f=2&t=919&p=130474#p130474
R2K-out.png
SPX-BB
SPX-BB.png
laters
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Al_Dente
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Re: 05/18/2013 Weekend Update

Post by Al_Dente »

Broad generalization and oversimplification:
Chasing hi-beta stocks is bull-spy (until it gets too frothy and overheated)
Chasing dividend-paying stocks is bear-spy (until it gets too over-extended and reverts)
(see bottom two panels)
518beta v dividends_png.png
Top panel:
Ratio of aggressive-to-defensive stocks:
At this point, this ratio should have broken out to a new high, instead of approaching a double top…
(if you look at it on the weekly, not on this chart, it is nearing a long-term-triple top)

Bottom panel:
Ratio of cyclical-to-consumer sectors
At this point in the economic cycle, the “experts” contend that the cyclicals should be stronger….. they are really trying to catch up….
518cyclical etc_png.png
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
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