Maybe too early to say, but I couldn't help thinking that the market is not as strong as it appears as too many shadowed bars there.
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I think using daily charts for perspective is important when determining what the shorter time frames may be indicating -
this spx chart show that a breakout here measures up to just below 1400 - if we breakout my guess is that momentum carries past 1400 (the June target I discussed yesterday). End of May will be interesting.
Gap up, 10:30am ET new intraday high, so 90% chances today close > open. But still today doesn't feel like a strong uptrend day SO FAR.
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Me XMan wrote:zombiebraingoo. Bears are hard to find now since they've all converted to bulls.
Me XMan - I learned my lesson june/july 09. Shorting this market is silly since August. Soon shorts will work but only for a little - this market will trade at 07 highs before it collaspes.
OK you bulls out there don't get to happy... We still have to get by the 1325/1327 area and hold...Then the 1333 area next...So far the mkt can't break past 1327 and hold. You bulls and 1400+ are brave.I would not buy long right now. I am not all Bear ,I just try and follow the Mkt.
Cobra wrote:Gap up, 10:30am ET new intraday high, so 90% chances today close > open. But still today doesn't feel like a strong uptrend day SO FAR.
And how are you getting that "feel" Cobra?
I see spx at 1325. It hasn't hit 1328. if it closes here and waits till tomorrow then breaks and closes above, the bears are dead for 3 weeks. Just my take.
Today's range estimate is 1313-1329. I think the market is about to drop into the 1260-70 zone but a close on Friday above 1322.25 would negate this conclusion. In any case once this reaction is complete I expect to see new highs for the bull market. That is what I'm basing this on.
Cobra wrote:Gap up, 10:30am ET new intraday high, so 90% chances today close > open. But still today doesn't feel like a strong uptrend day SO FAR.
And how are you getting that "feel" Cobra?
I see spx at 1325. It hasn't hit 1328. if it closes here and waits till tomorrow then breaks and closes above, the bears are dead for 3 weeks. Just my take.
A strong up day shouldn't like this. I cannot say the exactly words, just a feeling. I might be wrong.
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KENA wrote:OK you bulls out there don't get to happy... We still have to get by the 1325/1327 area and hold...Then the 1333 area next...So far the mkt can't break past 1327 and hold. You bulls and 1400+ are brave.I would not buy long right now. I am not all Bear ,I just try and follow the Mkt.
Neither a bull or a bear be
but see
unfolding reality...
finally, some push up. Let's see how my evil plan goes, this should be the 3rd push up.
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Edit: Just wanted to add that the market feels weak, even with the new high - volume low? Should have been enough to push us up, and keep on going, without the long consolidation, mid-morning.
Last edited by writersblock on Thu Mar 03, 2011 1:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.