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Key time for bears. See the blue line above? It's been tested 4 times now, right? So if bears cannot push down from here, one more rebound to touch the blue line, you bet we'll see a breakout. I see an Ascending Triangle here.
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triangle, bias is a little down, but it also means bears are not strong.
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VIX 15m.. messy but a couple of possible little patterns.. messy invs H&S / ascending triangle ( uncomplete.. more chop) larger blue triangle... all messy.. or just a plain "W" bottom.. which measures much higher.. but more data on the left of the chart you can't see makes that suspect pattern..
My summation signal is neutral.
My composite trend signal is up with 2 critical indicators pointed down. One critical indicator turned up yesterday.
Price remains in the heinous trading range.
My models remain neutral to up. The range trading is rendering them lethargic.
I think they are telling me that money continues to flow into the market but the interest to buy at higher prices is not great.
There is not much pressure to sell either at the moment.
I continue to anticipate a pop of the trading range top if only to run stops. However, the inability to do so by now should be troubling to the bulls.
It feels like they are running out of time, and price action is starting to look dubious to my eyes.
Janet speaks tomorrow, which could spark a move one way or the other.
My models are slow moving. So, they probably won't say much new until price starts moving.
Until I get some good signaling, if I put on a position, it will be a rental based on tape and chart reading.
In the mean time, I am working other markets.
One thing to note is that NYMO is looking poor this morning. If it closes that way, it will be sounding a cautionary note. It was same deal yesterday, and bulls pulled it out.
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