[quote="TumblingDice"]Today's VIX behavior is pretty telling IMHO.
Maybe I'm completely wrong but this smells like the MM's trying to lower premiums for puts by having a coordinated attack on the VIX. The last time the VIX was so pounded and then quickly brought back up again, not in concert with equity market action was May 12th if I'm not mistaken.
Sharing research and ideas only, this is not trading advice.
“If people concentrated on the really important things in life, there’d be a shortage of fishing poles.” – Doug Larson
TumblingDice wrote:Today's VIX behavior is pretty telling IMHO.
Maybe I'm completely wrong but this smells like the MM's trying to lower premiums for puts by having a coordinated attack on the VIX. The last time the VIX was so pounded and then quickly brought back up again, not in concert with equity market action was May 12th if I'm not mistaken.
TumblingDice wrote:Today's VIX behavior is pretty telling IMHO.
Maybe I'm completely wrong but this smells like the MM's trying to lower premiums for puts by having a coordinated attack on the VIX. The last time the VIX was so pounded and then quickly brought back up again, not in concert with equity market action was May 12th if I'm not mistaken.
Yup. The other factors can turn around at any time. The USD/JPY can break the critical 102 level, TNX can break 2.75%, XLF can start outperforming and actually making highs. But, until they do, I'll give the short side time. Rallies should be kicked off with rising volume and long white candles larger in magnitude than the red candles that got us to the bottoms.
All my instincts say one more big dip and then a rally.
TumblingDice wrote:Today's VIX behavior is pretty telling IMHO.
Maybe I'm completely wrong but this smells like the MM's trying to lower premiums for puts by having a coordinated attack on the VIX. The last time the VIX was so pounded and then quickly brought back up again, not in concert with equity market action was May 12th if I'm not mistaken.
Yup. The other factors can turn around at any time. The USD/JPY can break the critical 102 level, TNX can break 2.75%, XLF can start outperforming and actually making highs. But, until they do, I'll give the short side time. Rallies should be kicked off with rising volume and long white candles larger in magnitude than the red candles that got us to the bottoms.
All my instincts say one more big dip and then a rally.
A problem with rigging stuff is the law of diminishing returns. See declining rate of USD as world currency of settlement. And top line gains from corporate buy backs and labor cost reduction. The worlds biggest economy built on paper shuffles and disinformation. Won't last.
‘the petrodollar is our currency and our problem’....Gappy
Apparently "buying shares" in Mogadishu consisted of investing in a group of pirates - much like in the Caribbean 250 years ago. Note that the article is 3 years old, so things might have changed for the better: