No position. Back from vacation.
Had some short on last week but closed out flat.
My summation signal remained down at the Friday close. However, the read for the R2K was an oversold extreme, which is bullish.
My composite trend signal is up. The recent softness did little to the signal. The up trend remains in good shape by this measure.
So, the indexes flirted with going into a meaningful correction but didn't get very far.
As bears are extinct, this is no surprise. Perhaps it is a first bear baby step but nothing to instill bulls with fear.
My NYMO cycle chart as of this morning looks like it is working to pin a cycle low.
We have to see a few closes and what happens when it recovers to the zero line to confirm.
It could merely be corrective. We'll just have to see how the week unfolds.
As the down cycle has run about 21 days however, an up cycle would be timely.
The SPX satisfied the bare minimum decline (and pretty much nothing more) for the down cycle. The R2K had a more robust decline.
All this suggests that we may have seen a rotational correction with a large number of stocks having declined somewhat over the last few weeks without damaging the overall health of the market.
It is bullish behavior.
As this uptrend has been running for awhile, and breaking a few records along the way, one wonders when we might see a high of consequence and a downtrend?
I am clueless as usual. However, I can make the following observation.
While my trend model continues to be solidly up, the spread between a number of indicator levels and their thresholds has narrowed considerably.
This is not bearish per se, but it means the trend could be nearing its end and that the model could turn rather quickly when the time comes. We shall see.