That the recent run up is "off the books", no volume, done with some sovereign ponzi, me thinks the bull market run is history despite the bubble valuation.
‘the petrodollar is our currency and our problem’....Gappy
That the recent run up is "off the books", no volume, done with some sovereign ponzi, me thinks the bull market run is history despite the bubble valuation.
Gandalf (JPM's Marko Kolanovic) explained this week that ES market depth is directly related to VIX. He said if the VIX doubles from here liquidity will be cut in half. That is why all the funds are going long volatility (buying VIX related ETFs) as a volatility shock is the current largest risk to the market. He also said the low volatility high liquidity environment has allowed Hedge Funds to reduce equity exposure without causing a sell-off.
I am assuming the buyers must be managed dumb money as in pensions and retirement accounts along with foreign central banks because according to both B of A and Lipper the capital outflow continues and is unprecedented.
Previously the red cycle led to quite dramatic moves. So far this week SPX has barely moved. High was about 2083 and now it's at 2056, that's less than 2 percent. I'm praying (to the trading Gods) for more volatility.
That the recent run up is "off the books", no volume, done with some sovereign ponzi, me thinks the bull market run is history despite the bubble valuation.
A "foreign ponzi" Sounds terrifying. Perhaps the wall on the Mexican border won't suffice. Trump might have an adequate answer
Hi Uempel,
It was a Dud last year in mid-April and so it might do the same this time (Q2 of the year). Hopefully, it will be sharp move down in its next turn (end of September)?
uempel wrote:Previously the red cycle led to quite dramatic moves. So far this week SPX has barely moved. High was about 2083 and now it's at 2056, that's less than 2 percent. I'm praying (to the trading Gods) for more volatility.
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