Mr. B here...
The NYMO cycle is down. It is a little unclear whether the current move is a fresh down cycle or simply a continuation of the one that started June 8.
Even though higher highs and lows got posted on the move from 6/14 to 6/23, which suggests an up cycle, it may have been a corrective move to the zero line that terminated with a fakeout high the day before Brexit.
Today's NYMO intraday low broke the 6/14 low close suggesting a continuation of the June 8 down cycle may be the case.
Multiple targets have been hit since the last post.
As with the June 16th low,the June 23 high failed to close a gap target during the open session.
However, these targets were clearly crossed in the futures market.
Interestingly, today's low also has failed (so far) to close the open gap from March 11.
So, perhaps unfinished business.
Below this target, there is a fair degree of open space below before next targets come into play.
My lower Keltner band was almost tagged this morning.
The continuing failure of the index to tag the upper keltner while making multiple lower keltner contacts in recent months is technically bearish in the big picture.
At the moment, NYMO is above the June 14th low while price is well below the June 14th low.
If this continues, we have a big bullish divergence.
I am long near the lower Keltner band for a corrective bounce.
I have a breakeven stop on. If stopped out, I'll try to reposition lower up until tomorrows close.
If this thing doesn't turn by then, things are pretty ugly.