In a first for the Fed, 15 minutes ago the Fed started its first anti-POMO, or outright bond sale, this time for up to $9 billion in bonds due between 01/15/2012 – 07/31/2012. This is liquidity taken out of the market (think reverse repo) and money that can not be used to buy Netflix by the primary dealers. As a result, the recent (massively levered: thank you HFT in FX and 200x margin) surge in the EURUSD would make sense, as the last thing the market needs is for the robots to find a correlation between inverse POMO days and market drops, which would then be front run on any of the next anti-POMO days. The operation will conclude at 11 am EDT. Expect to see an end to the EURUSD rise as soon as the operation is concluded.
I can’t always absorb the complex zh stuff on bond mkt… me have to simplify it to: FED sells bonds = bull spy
Dovetails nicely w jarbo’s inside dirt on squid selling munis = bull spy
SOOOO impt, as bond market is the 800-zillion pound gorilla in our global jungle market.
PS: am always late getting to my church (zerohedge.com); appreciate the heads up namo
wayne0708 wrote:uempel,
your 1150 target has met so are you shorting?
Yeah, but I already covered half the position, the market is just not heading down, too bullish. I guess there will be a reversal at 1159, and if that fails it's 1199. Check the weekly chart:
Jarbo, I never followed munis in 2008 - do you have more information? Or can you give me a the XXX of a good/typical muni-product so that I can backtest a ratio XXX/equities for 2007/2009? Tks.
uempel wrote:Jarbo, I never followed munis in 2008 - do you have more information? Or can you give me a the XXX of a good/typical muni-product so that I can backtest a ratio XXX/equities for 2007/2009? Tks.
eh not sure...but i guess MUB would be the best of the bad options?
hey guys late morning for me... it looks like we are basing nicely under /es 1154.5 gap and /cl 82.14 gap and my guess is that tmrw if we get a good employment report we'll take off and get up to those levels to end this weekend with one final bull bang
uempel wrote:Jarbo, I never followed munis in 2008 - do you have more information? Or can you give me a the XXX of a good/typical muni-product so that I can backtest a ratio XXX/equities for 2007/2009? Tks.
eh not sure...but i guess MUB would be the best of the bad options?
I have started to trade one direction only today - buying dips and taking profits. No more short trades for me because of concerns of potential short squeezes along the way in the next few days.
still early to tell, but pretty sure i'm going to go flat for the employment data in the morning. it's too much of a gamble in a market that's already like russian roulette, except the market is playing it with a .45 that's fully loaded and chambered.
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ddd wrote:I have started to trade one direction only today - buying dips and taking profits. No more short trades for me because of concerns of potential short squeezes along the way in the next few days.
potential short squeeze? is there other potential?
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
PAGING jarbo
This update is annotated just 4 u… will drag u kicking and screaming into stk internals
Then maybe later, u can help me “read” cboe most active options, and bernie schaeffer’s p/c ratio and oi and soir as contrary “tell” ? http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPY&p= ... =245336889
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.