very strange behavior, bonds down - metals down - commodities down - dollar down - indices down - euro up WTF?
Euro looks like a corrective bounce only.
I invite you to look at TLT in 2008 and what it did to stocks.
Benny is in The Liquidity Trap. None of this is going to work, but they will continue to try with High Fascism Trading until they too realize they need to build a massive short.
your TLT chart is welcome, go on
It is possible, if not likely, that the US will also see the long-end of its debt see rising rates not due to a strong economy, but that in the final analysis, we aren't much better off than Greece and these increased rate will choke the economy.
We are well into one of the most sound of economic theories - The Liquidity Trap. Adding money slows velocity and DOES NOT generate anything but marginal GDP growth by a small groups that spends some money thinking the government is fixing things. When does this end? (and it will end). It ends when the mkt sees the only real Lender of Last Resort in the world as impotent, which it already is. Congress "borrowed" from future generations and in large part allowed illegal immigration in as a last ditch effort for lower wages, corporate profits, and a growing economy due to population growth (there are papers on this) and it gave us a Law of Unintended Consequences - The government demanded that banks allow these people to buy homes they could never afford.
The Debt Cycle is ending. We are going to begin deleveraging. If we are lucky, we will just have a decade of malaise. Japan's efforts would argue deflation will be the result. Gas prices at almost $3 during driving season? Pretty good indicator of the REAL economy, I'd say.
I agree with you, very wise comment and nice chart, THX
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
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I'm neutral as I see 3 push down here so might be 2 legged rebound. 10 min to rate announcement, judging by gold down oil down, there might be no QE3 or any money printing.
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soku wrote:my wildest guess, for fun only
es dip to 1335 after the fed announcement, then go back up to close green for today.
The Hang Seng set red candlesticks in the past 3 days.
India set red candlesticks in 2 of the last 3 days.
The Nikkei set red candlesticks in 3 of the last 4 days.
usually this kind of divergence between NZD and AUD use to mean something
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
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Last edited by KeiZai on Wed Jun 20, 2012 12:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)