Back to www.cobrasmarketview.com

06/28/2012 Live Update

louie
Posts: 197
Joined: Wed May 30, 2012 10:52 am

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by louie »

took a pos in tvix (I know, stupid move) yesterday @ 5.50. So many other ways to go. I really need to learn how and where to place my bets. Finger is on the trigger!!!
User avatar
MrMiyagi
Posts: 10336
Joined: Sun Oct 16, 2011 12:48 pm

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by MrMiyagi »

louie wrote:took a pos in tvix (I know, stupid move) yesterday @ 5.50. So many other ways to go. I really need to learn how and where to place my bets. Finger is on the trigger!!!
They broke TVIX a few months ago, stay away. Try TZA instead.
By the way, if you bought at 5.50$, you're up 40 cents.
dr659
Posts: 319
Joined: Thu Feb 17, 2011 4:53 pm

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by dr659 »

louie wrote:took a pos in tvix (I know, stupid move) yesterday @ 5.50. So many other ways to go. I really need to learn how and where to place my bets. Finger is on the trigger!!!
It`s up 3.5% :?
User avatar
TraderJoe
Posts: 881
Joined: Mon Apr 02, 2012 7:08 am
Location: USA

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by TraderJoe »

MrMiyagi wrote:
louie wrote:took a pos in tvix (I know, stupid move) yesterday @ 5.50. So many other ways to go. I really need to learn how and where to place my bets. Finger is on the trigger!!!
They broke TVIX a few months ago, stay away. Try TZA instead.
By the way, if you bought at 5.50$, you're up 40 cents.
If you want to buy the vix, watch UVXY, it is a 2x vix.
User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 60077
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

weak rebound, so bears still have hopes to push down more. must push down more.
Attachments
1.png

Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
louie
Posts: 197
Joined: Wed May 30, 2012 10:52 am

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by louie »

"its this blend of tech and user thusiasim that makes him successful - or at best popular squak box

love ya cobra!! but remember, i just went wedding and a klittle bad typing and euohiric

Come on now, just admit it. You're in a great place having a wonderful time.... AND GETTING LOADED!!! :lol:
User avatar
BlackThought
Posts: 186
Joined: Wed Jun 01, 2011 11:04 am

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by BlackThought »

cmon bernanke!! printttttt
hiram
Posts: 73
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2011 9:31 am

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by hiram »

Cobra wrote:weak rebound, so bears still have hopes to push down more. must push down more.

total al brooks trend resumption day and with trend resumption day we always watch for fake out at 2:30, im done for the week but just wanted to point that out. if i was trading here i would be looking for l2 set up.


hiram
RZRsharp
Posts: 10
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2011 1:01 pm

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by RZRsharp »

louie wrote:took a pos in tvix (I know, stupid move) yesterday @ 5.50. So many other ways to go. I really need to learn how and where to place my bets. Finger is on the trigger!!!
just my 2c on TVIX, and zero criticism or comment on your trade, but one reason why I particularly avoid TVIX / VXX as trading vehicles is that they measure the relationship between changes in premium for volatility looking several months out, and that is way different and oftentimes a poor proxy for actual market downside occurring now.

The VIX itself is a computed number, not a trading value and represents the premium in SPY options. The VIX is a reading not a tradable security with flow. My view is that VIX itself is hard enough to game (fear premium over price action that has actual supply) and that looking at derivatives of something that is already hard to "trade" (those being the TVIX and VXX) is tough.

Sorry if that was pedantic, I just kind of go into automatic speech mode when I hear anything about the TVIX/VXX. The other posters above me alos make excellent points re TVIX
User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 60077
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

hiram wrote:
Cobra wrote:weak rebound, so bears still have hopes to push down more. must push down more.

total al brooks trend resumption day and with trend resumption day we always watch for fake out at 2:30, im done for the week but just wanted to point that out. if i was trading here i would be looking for l2 set up.


hiram
good. thanks.

Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
lilitulip
Posts: 71
Joined: Thu Apr 28, 2011 10:37 am

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by lilitulip »

TraderJoe wrote:
MrMiyagi wrote:
louie wrote:took a pos in tvix (I know, stupid move) yesterday @ 5.50. So many other ways to go. I really need to learn how and where to place my bets. Finger is on the trigger!!!
They broke TVIX a few months ago, stay away. Try TZA instead.
By the way, if you bought at 5.50$, you're up 40 cents.
If you want to buy the vix, watch UVXY, it is a 2x vix.

but vix up 7%, uvxy only up 3%?
louie
Posts: 197
Joined: Wed May 30, 2012 10:52 am

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by louie »

TraderJoe wrote:
MrMiyagi wrote:
louie wrote:took a pos in tvix (I know, stupid move) yesterday @ 5.50. So many other ways to go. I really need to learn how and where to place my bets. Finger is on the trigger!!!
They broke TVIX a few months ago, stay away. Try TZA instead.
By the way, if you bought at 5.50$, you're up 40 cents.
If you want to buy the vix, watch UVXY, it is a 2x vix.
Wife & I vacationed in D.R. this past winter. Internet cafe next to our room. Bought UVXY before open and had our vacation paid for in 1 1/2 hour. Then out! UVXY be good to me! :)
User avatar
KENA
Posts: 2996
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 1:54 pm

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by KENA »

See the blue line at 1308.Must break..Then dn thru the June lows.Mkt breaks that ,then the fun begins.Had a busy day today and yesterday.The stocktrading charts and Dorsey Wright all inproved very,very little.on yesterdays green day..The TA just does not belive the mkt.Out of my long 2 days ago with only 1 point,was looking for 4 but thats trading I guess.Who knows maybe GS may be right.
sc.png
:mrgreen: :mrgreen:
User avatar
TraderJoe
Posts: 881
Joined: Mon Apr 02, 2012 7:08 am
Location: USA

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by TraderJoe »

lilitulip wrote:
TraderJoe wrote:
MrMiyagi wrote:
louie wrote:took a pos in tvix (I know, stupid move) yesterday @ 5.50. So many other ways to go. I really need to learn how and where to place my bets. Finger is on the trigger!!!
They broke TVIX a few months ago, stay away. Try TZA instead.
By the way, if you bought at 5.50$, you're up 40 cents.
If you want to buy the vix, watch UVXY, it is a 2x vix.

but vix up 7%, uvxy only up 3%?
$vix is only up 1.48%
User avatar
MrMiyagi
Posts: 10336
Joined: Sun Oct 16, 2011 12:48 pm

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by MrMiyagi »

louie wrote: Wife & I vacationed in D.R. this past winter. Internet cafe next to our room. Bought UVXY before open and had our vacation paid for in 1 1/2 hour. Then out! UVXY be good to me! :)
I have not been there in 22 years. Had met a beautiful girl in Sosua and went back a couple of times and she showed me areas that tourists don't go to as well as some of the beaches ;)
louie
Posts: 197
Joined: Wed May 30, 2012 10:52 am

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by louie »

RZRsharp wrote:
louie wrote:took a pos in tvix (I know, stupid move) yesterday @ 5.50. So many other ways to go. I really need to learn how and where to place my bets. Finger is on the trigger!!!
just my 2c on TVIX, and zero criticism or comment on your trade, but one reason why I particularly avoid TVIX / VXX as trading vehicles is that they measure the relationship between changes in premium for volatility looking several months out, and that is way different and oftentimes a poor proxy for actual market downside occurring now.

The VIX itself is a computed number, not a trading value and represents the premium in SPY options. The VIX is a reading not a tradable security with flow. My view is that VIX itself is hard enough to game (fear premium over price action that has actual supply) and that looking at derivatives of something that is already hard to "trade" (those being the TVIX and VXX) is tough.

Sorry if that was pedantic, I just kind of go into automatic speech mode when I hear anything about the TVIX/VXX. The other posters above me alos make excellent points re TVIX
That was my whole point - I hate those trading vehicles. So the question is, why on earth did I do that? Pure stupidity!!!
RZRsharp
Posts: 10
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2011 1:01 pm

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by RZRsharp »

lilitulip wrote:
TraderJoe wrote:
MrMiyagi wrote:
louie wrote:took a pos in tvix (I know, stupid move) yesterday @ 5.50. So many other ways to go. I really need to learn how and where to place my bets. Finger is on the trigger!!!
They broke TVIX a few months ago, stay away. Try TZA instead.
By the way, if you bought at 5.50$, you're up 40 cents.
If you want to buy the vix, watch UVXY, it is a 2x vix.

but vix up 7%, uvxy only up 3%?
see my reply above for why this is. the change in forward volatility along the curve is not the same as the actual expressed premium in spy today. This is a real and current example of why I dislike anything vol related as a trading vehicle for directional exposure
TraderGirl
Posts: 5031
Joined: Thu Dec 22, 2011 2:47 pm

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by TraderGirl »

Triangle could in fact be more valid...?? If this is in fact a "B" wave there is usually one more try to the upside before a fall further...perhaps the price action towards close will give us clues....??
Attachments
Screen Shot 2012-06-28 at 11.49.13 AM.png
RZRsharp
Posts: 10
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2011 1:01 pm

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by RZRsharp »

louie wrote:
RZRsharp wrote:
louie wrote:took a pos in tvix (I know, stupid move) yesterday @ 5.50. So many other ways to go. I really need to learn how and where to place my bets. Finger is on the trigger!!!
just my 2c on TVIX, and zero criticism or comment on your trade, but one reason why I particularly avoid TVIX / VXX as trading vehicles is that they measure the relationship between changes in premium for volatility looking several months out, and that is way different and oftentimes a poor proxy for actual market downside occurring now.

The VIX itself is a computed number, not a trading value and represents the premium in SPY options. The VIX is a reading not a tradable security with flow. My view is that VIX itself is hard enough to game (fear premium over price action that has actual supply) and that looking at derivatives of something that is already hard to "trade" (those being the TVIX and VXX) is tough.

Sorry if that was pedantic, I just kind of go into automatic speech mode when I hear anything about the TVIX/VXX. The other posters above me alos make excellent points re TVIX
That was my whole point - I hate those trading vehicles. So the question is, why on earth did I do that? Pure stupidity!!!

Ahh, I gotcha. Makes sense. I couldn't quite tell your angle, bc hey, you made money on the trade.

I call that a high quality problem. 8-)
User avatar
Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 06/28/2012 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

KENA wrote:See the blue line at 1308.Must break..Then dn thru the June lows.Mkt breaks that ,then the fun begins.Had a busy day today and yesterday.The stocktrading charts and Dorsey Wright all inproved very,very little.on yesterdays green day..The TA just does not belive the mkt.Out of my long 2 days ago with only 1 point,was looking for 4 but thats trading I guess.Who knows maybe GS may be right.
sc.png
:mrgreen: :mrgreen:
KENA
When u say GS u mean 1285 ?
thx :mrgreen:
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
Post Reply