11/18/2013 Live Update

[Cobra]

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New high but not decisive enough so still some chances of either Double Top or 3 Push Up, just some chances, so let's see if bears can deliver.

[Cobra]

weekly stock picks are here: http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2013/11 ... ock-picks/

[Cobra]

members only update starts here: http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2013/11 ... ay-update/

[gappy]

Hightower highjinx. glta

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[Al_Dente]

GM
Cobra do you have any votes this morning?
For some reason, they are not letting me in to vote (the vote button disappeared)
https://stockcharts.com/public/1684859
maybe it’s just me?

[uempel]

This is for Champix and KeiZai - and for all the others who trade FDAX: Ellipses suggest that today's 9250 ain't yet the top, they point to approx 9330 next week Difficult to imagine because DAX is now way above the daily BB20/2 and about to touch the weekly BB20/2. But these ellipses tend to get it right

[fehro]

SPX 60m

[Al_Dente]

“The Fed is not taking any chances: on the day in which every index is broadly expected to slip into uncharted, even-number territory, Kevin Henry and the other NY Fed Inkjets are making sure to seal the deal not with one but two POMOs, the first one starting at its usual time of 10:15 am for about $1.5 billion, and the second at 1:15pm for a 2 pm closing amounting to roughly $3.5 billion. Since the total will likely be above the magical $5 billion threshold, the probability of a down day is virtually nil.”
[caveat: source is zerohedge]

[champix]

This is for Champix and KeiZai - and for all the others who trade FDAX: Ellipses suggest that today's 9250 ain't yet the top, they point to approx 9330 next week Difficult to imagine because DAX is now way above the daily BB20/2 and about to touch the weekly BB20/2. But these ellipses tend to get it right

DAX9330.png

come on !! 9250 is such a good level too short !
Ok, patience, patience... thx Uempel !

[gappy]

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[fehro]

VIX 15m

[gappy]

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This mornings report.

[Al_Dente]

VIX 15m

IWM approaches triple top
FEHRO could u please show me the proper neckline on IWM. I believe my dashed cyan line is wrong. Thanks.

[Cobra]

Nothing to say, wait to see if those dip buyers rushing in again.

[uempel]

Difficult day...

[fehro]

VIX 15m

IWM approaches triple top
FEHRO could u please show me the proper neckline on IWM. I believe my dashed cyan line is wrong. Thanks.

The attachment 1118iwm_png.png is no longer available

don't like it.. but here it is.. I prefer... H&S / invs H&S closer to an extended move up/down.. not in the middle.. if that makes sense... IWM 60m Triple top???

[fehro]

VIX 15m ...messy invs. H&S target met

[Cobra]

so far no signs of dip buyers but they usually come in AFTER the very first rebound, so wait.

[gappy]

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United States Net Long-term Tic Flows

Net Long-term Tic Flows in the United States increased to 25500 USD Million in September of 2013 from -9800 USD Million in August of 2013. Net Long-term Tic Flows in the United States is reported by the U.S. Department of the Treasury. Net Long-term Tic Flows in the United States averaged 23340.72 USD Million from 1978 until 2013, reaching an all time high of 139697 USD Million in March of 2010 and a record low of -72882 USD Million in August of 2007. The Net Long-Term TIC Flows track the flow of Treasury and agency securities, corporate bonds and equities, into and out of the United States. . 2013-11-18

[quientuves]

Gappy, If understand those graphs. What treasury is saying is money is going out of states while they return the debt tittles they bought... and are doing it a nice speed...