ECB didn't deliver the goods, the chances of the fed delivering are even lower considering gasoline prices and the relative strength of the american economy. only a truly dismal NFP can save the monetary addicted market. cash position in individual investors accounts are at 15 month low, while equity positions are the highest since april. not a good sign:
http://pragcap.com/small-investor-cash- ... -month-low
fedex expects eps lower yoy, last time this happened was in 2007, although relatively early for the market then:
non financials earnings estimates are also declining yoy:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/financial ... pectations
q3 12 is estimated to show yoy declines including financials. does all this support p/e of 16 even with this low yield environment? i think not.
the market now is hanging to dear life on uncle ben, and any disappointment can cause an avalanche. given that seasonality is turning south as well this time of year, and all the technical evidences of weakness, i'm staying mostly out with some exposure to GDX.