Neutral.
My summation index signal is up.
My composite trend signal is up.
I missed my entries at the start of this run and have watched from the sidelines.
Even though this has been a wonderful runner, the risk return asymmetry has not been favorable for me to trade after the initial thrust.
So, I did not chase. It's a good thing Mr. Market never stops presenting new opportunities...
My signals remain constructive, but the summation signal has been quietly slinking toward neutral.
So, perhaps a post FOMC turn lies ahead. A lot of folks are looking for that I know; so something different may be in store.
Looking at the McClellan Study I posted awhile ago, we have gotten the divergence from the top that was expected.
These divergences aren't useful timing wise, but if they don't reverse, eventually the indexes give up their gains from the oscillator high.
While anything is possible (including a turn upward in the oscillator), so far this market appears somewhat analogous to the top labeled 1 (or maybe 2).
A big bar day like May 22 would add credence to that. We shall see.
Another consideration is that tomorrow is month end, and for a lot of fund managers, the mark to market point for year-end bonuses. Many such people now think Ben lives at the North Pole.
In any case, a new ball game starts for them next week and perhaps a change in attitude.
I may play a little FOMC volatility for fun, but I'll be watching the signals for guidance on more sizeable trade into week's end and next.