PAGING ANYONE INTERESTED IN BANKS fundamental and TA research… but stale now as it is 24 hours old… so read it later …weekend focused on MS as possible “bellwether” due to its over-exposure to France/China (previously posted here w zh link)
NED DAVIS RESEARCH 10/9/11: “MS has been on a SELL signal since 04/25/2011”
Fundamentals: MS appears normally valued based on its P/E (TTM) 22.60, which is between the Financials sector’s top and bottom quintile values of 30.34 and 9.61, respectively. MS appears undervalued based on its Price/Book of 0.36, which is less than the Financials sector’s bottom quintile value of 0.65…Technicals: MS outperforms the SPX 66.67% of the time in October, with an average excess return of 2.72%.... MS/SPX Index currently lies 10.94% below its 50dma ……. MS/Financials sector currently lies 6.52% below its 50dma …
S&P STOCK REPORT 10/11/11: HOLD (3 out of 5 stars)… with outlook on peer group here:
http://screencast.com/t/1YMoSibOd
CREDIT SUISSE: OUTPERFORM. “ Our Thesis. We’ve been wrong in recommending MS shares in terms of our fundamental outlook, the timeline of regulatory clarity and thoughts on floor valuation. With that said, we continue to rate MS shares Outperform—we believe measured progress in franchise restoration, healthier capital markets… and the absence of new negatives from here should drive … price outperformance... While we expect it will take some time for management to fully realize franchise earnings power …. more ….
http://screencast.com/t/NN9vtKLTbP and 10/13 sector update after JPM eps:
http://screencast.com/t/y3h5zxLJA6J
ARGUS ANALYST REPORT: BUY
SCHWAB SECOND OPINION WEEKLY (TA) 10/14/11: CHANGED TO NEUTRAL FROM AVOID.
Recommendation: Stock shows mildly improving TA conditions. If you are short this stock, hold position. Do not initiate new short sale.
Comment: MACD indicates bullish trend. Up/Down volume pattern indicates that the stock is under accumulation. Chart pattern indicates a weak downward trend. Relative Strength is Bearish. The 50dma is falling/Bearish. The 200dma is falling/Bearish.
[Anecdotally: critics point to MS lack of “deposit base” as big problem, compared to say, BAC which takes in gobs of cash deposits every day]
Normal disclaimer: crock-a-kool-aid …. all reports are copyright schwab…. BTW: GS who-is-doing-god’s-work got very similar ratings…